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Alain Poupart· Aug 21, 2026

Poupart sorts the Dolphins roster into tiers ahead of the 53-man cutdown, naming 28 players as locks to make the roster and eight more as borderline locks who more than likely make it. He also expects Quinn Ewers to be the No. 2 quarterback behind Malik Willis, and says Darrell Baker Jr. and Storm Duck will start the season on PUP.

“The other seven players here more than likely will make the roster, but each has a question mark that the top tier doesn't have.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

40 checkable claims — 38 roster spot calls and 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 40 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

32 of 40 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 71.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Where this call stands in the room

Malik Willis · 2026 season

24 calls from 18 pundits between 1 and 1. Alain Poupart said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Alain Poupart — 1the room — 24 calls from 18 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

40 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Chris Johnson to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... CB Chris Johnson”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Chris Johnson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Zayne Anderson to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... S Zayne Anderson”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Zayne Anderson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Austin Jackson to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... T Austin Jackson”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Austin Jackson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • De'Von Achane to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... RB De'Von Achane”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    De'Von Achane
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Aaron Brewer to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) C Aaron Brewer”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Aaron Brewer
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Will Kacmarek to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... TE Will Kacmarek”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Will Kacmarek
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Greg Dulcich to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... TE Greg Dulcich”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Greg Dulcich
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jordyn Brooks to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... LB Jordyn Brooks”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jordyn Brooks
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Patrick Paul to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... T Patrick Paul”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Patrick Paul
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kevin Coleman to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... WR Kevin Coleman Jr.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Kevin Coleman
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacob Rodriguez to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... LB Jacob Rodriguez”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Jacob Rodriguez
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jordan Phillips to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... DT Jordan Phillips”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jordan Phillips
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Zach Sieler to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... DT Zach Sieler”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Zach Sieler
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kadyn Proctor to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... G Kadyn Proctor”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Caedan Wallace to make the roster

    “THE BORDERLINE LOCKS (8) ... G/T Caedan Wallace”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Caedan Wallace
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jason Marshall Jr. to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... CB Jason Marshall Jr.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jason Marshall Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Zeek Biggers to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... DT Zeek Biggers”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Zeek Biggers
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dante Trader Jr. to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... S Dante Trader Jr.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Dante Trader Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tucker Addington to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... LS Tucker Addington”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Tucker Addington
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chop Robinson to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... EDGE Chop Robinson”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Chop Robinson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Riley Patterson to make the roster

    “K Riley Patterson ... his only competition for the kicker job disappeared”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Riley Patterson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jonah Savaiinaea to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... G Jonah Savaiinaea”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jonah Savaiinaea
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Malik Washington to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... WR Malik Washington”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Malik Washington
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Ollie Gordon II to make the roster

    “THE BORDERLINE LOCKS (8) ... RB Ollie Gordon II”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Ollie Gordon II
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Caleb Douglas to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... WR Caleb Douglas”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Caleb Douglas
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Julius Brents to make the roster

    “THE BORDERLINE LOCKS (8) CB JuJu Brents ... more than likely will make the roster”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Julius Brents
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Bradley Pinion to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... P Bradley Pinion”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Bradley Pinion
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Michael Taaffe to make the roster

    “THE BORDERLINE LOCKS (8) ... S Michael Taaffe”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Michael Taaffe
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kyle Louis to make the roster

    “THE BORDERLINE LOCKS (8) ... LB Kyle Louis”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Kyle Louis
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Malik Willis to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... QB Malik Willis”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Malik Willis
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jaylen Wright to make the roster

    “THE BORDERLINE LOCKS (8) ... RB Jaylen Wright”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jaylen Wright
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Joshua Uche to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... EDGE Josh Uche”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Joshua Uche
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Quinn Ewers to be 2nd on the depth chart

    “While we still think he'll end up as the No. 2 quarterback behind Malik Willis, it's not longer as much of a sure thing as it once was.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tyrel Dodson to make the roster

    “THE BORDERLINE LOCKS (8) ... LB Tyrel Dodson”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kenneth Grant to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... DT Kenneth Grant”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trey Moore to make the roster

    “THE LOCKS (28) ... LB Trey Moore”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Darrell Baker Jr. to make the roster

    “Baker and Duck are on this list because it looks like it's almost a done deal they'll start the season on PUP.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chris Bell to make the roster

    “The name that jumps out here remains that of Chris Bell, and the only reason he's not an actual lock is the possibility the Dolphins put him on IR for the start of the regular season.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart

    “he'll end up as the No. 2 quarterback behind Malik Willis”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Storm Duck to make the roster

    “Baker and Duck are on this list because it looks like it's almost a done deal they'll start the season on PUP.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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What others said about the same people

More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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