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Rich Eisen· Feb 18, 2026

Eisen power ranked the 10 teams with new head coaches by their chances of a Mike Vrabel-style turnaround, with Baltimore first and Arizona last. He also predicted Kirk Cousins would be Atlanta's Week 1 starter, expected Deshaun Watson to start in Cleveland, and named the Titans as a team he likes.

“That's my power rankings list of new head coaches that can go on a magical run.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 1 power ranking and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 88.6 out of 100, against 89.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Power RankingsFeb 18, 2026

    “The power ranking of teams with new head coaches who could make a Vrabel like turnaround... Somebody's gotta be tenth and I'm putting the cardinals here... Because you know number one is Baltimore.”

    Hit · 85Scored 85.45a naive guess scored 86.67-1.21 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    -1.21
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    85.45
    baseline:
    86.67
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Who's quarterback? I think it's Cousins. I think they're gonna figure out a way to keep him... And he starts week one? Yeah. I bet you.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    ATL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Kirk Cousins
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I need to see what Deshaun Watson's gonna look like for for Todd Monken because I'd be surprised if he doesn't start.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tennessee Titans to beat expectations

    “Reluctantly I'll give you another one. I do have I like I I like I like the titans too.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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