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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 18, 2026

Eisen power ranked the 10 teams with new head coaches by their chances of a Mike Vrabel-style turnaround, with Baltimore first and Arizona last. They also predicted Kirk Cousins would be Atlanta's Week 1 starter, expected Deshaun Watson to start in Cleveland, and named the Titans as a team they like.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 2 waiting
88.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
89.2A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 4Settled2 still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
That's my power rankings list of new head coaches that can go on a magical run.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 2: ESPN’s Mel Kiper Jr, plus Power Ranking the NFL’s New Head Coach Hires
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 18
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1Power Rankings“The power ranking of teams with new head coaches who could make a Vrabel like turnaround... Somebody's gotta be tenth and I'm putting the cardinals here... Because you know number one is Baltimore.”
  2. 2Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart“Who's quarterback? I think it's Cousins. I think they're gonna figure out a way to keep him... And he starts week one? Yeah. I bet you.”
  3. 3Tennessee Titans to beat expectations“Reluctantly I'll give you another one. I do have I like I I like I like the titans too.”
  4. 4Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart“I need to see what Deshaun Watson's gonna look like for for Todd Monken because I'd be surprised if he doesn't start.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
“The power ranking of teams with new head coaches who could make…”1Power Rankings—85.4586.67−1.21
Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart CallsNo. 291.6791.670
Tennessee Titans to beat expectations3Surprise Team Calls————
Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart4Depth Chart Calls————
4 calls · 2 hits · 2 waiting88.689.2

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 1 power ranking and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 88.6 out of 100, against 89.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Power Rankings

    “The power ranking of teams with new head coaches who could make a Vrabel like turnaround... Somebody's gotta be tenth and I'm putting the cardinals here... Because you know number one is Baltimore.”

    VerdictHit
    85.45Hit · naive 86.67
    85.45this call86.67a naive guess−1.22worse than naive1difficulty−1.21skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −1.21
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    85.45
    baseline:
    86.67
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsKirk CousinsAtlanta Falcons

    Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards
    91.67Hit · naive 91.67
    91.67this call91.67a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    ATL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Kirk Cousins
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Surprise Team CallsTennessee Titans

    Tennessee Titans to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Depth Chart CallsDeshaun WatsonCleveland Browns

    Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    88.6naive 89.2

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.