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Henry McKennaSep 18, 2026

After the Bills' 41-31 win over Detroit, McKenna argued Buffalo looks like a genuine Super Bowl contender and that Josh Allen would be MVP if the season ended now. They also predicted the Lions will beat the Jets next week, though not easily.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Lions 31–24What happenedJets at Lions
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Henry McKenna said

I suspect the Lions will win. But not easily.
Our reading: Detroit Lions to beat Jets
Where it was published
Fox Sports
The piece
Is Buffalo Super Bowl Bound? 3 Takeaways From Bills' Decisive Win Over Lions
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 17
  2. PlayedSep 27
  3. GradedSep 28

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Game Outcome PicksDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to beat Jets

    What happenedLions 31–24Jets at Lions
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    24-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

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