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Carter Bahns· Oct 4, 2026

Bahns picks the Panthers to win a high-scoring Sunday night shootout over the Lions, 38-34, arguing both defenses are too leaky to slow the other offense.

“Pick: Panthers 38, Lions 34”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 95.2 out of 100, against 88.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Carolina Panthers 38 — Lions 34

    “Pick: Panthers 38, Lions 34”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 88.1+13.07 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    26-32
    skill:
    13.07
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    88.1
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    1
    predicted margin:
    4

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