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John Breech#34 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 13, 2026

The unsigned Pick Six newsletter expects Seth McLaughlin to step into the Lions' starting center job with Cade Mays injured, and suggests Tua Tagovailoa is on track to be Atlanta's Week 1 starting quarterback.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#34John Breech’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What John Breech said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
McLaughlin is likely going to have to step in, but first, he'll have to prove that he can handle the job.
John Breech, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Predicting MVP for each AFC team, plus eight teams that need the preseason the most and rookies to watch
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 13
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 17
  1. 1Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart“That one fact would seem to clear the path for Tua to start in Week 1 ... it certainly feels like Tua is in the driver's seat right now.”
  2. 2Seth McLaughlin to be 1st on the depth chart“The Lions were expecting Cade Mays to start at center this year, but he's out for 8 to 10 weeks after breaking his wrist, so McLaughlin is likely going to have to step in”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart1Depth Chart Calls—000
Seth McLaughlin to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting00

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsTua TagovailoaAtlanta Falcons

    Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    ATL
    week:
    1
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Tua Tagovailoa
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he starts
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    he did not play that week
    naive slot:
    1
    settled by:
    weekly snap counts (he took no snap in the game)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he keeps the job he had last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsSeth McLaughlinDetroit Lions

    Seth McLaughlin to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.