Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 7, 2026
Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta.
Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original
What Gregg Rosenthal said
So Bijon gets the Offensive Player of the Year, but give CMC some MVP vote and split the baby that way.
- Where it was said
- Move the Sticks (podcast)
- The episode
- 2025 NFL Awards Predictions and Holiday Cards
- The original
- Hear the original
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- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJan 7
- GradedAug 7–Nov 11
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade and Signing Calls | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Award Picks | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Coach Award Picks | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| All | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
How each call scored
9 checkable claims — 6 award picks, 2 coach award picks and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 9 have settled, averaging 55.6 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Trade and Signing Calls1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons
“it just makes it easier for them to cut him before the start of the season without as much salary cap pain. So it sounds like he'll be cut”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Kirk Cousins
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- ATL
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded (from LV)
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Award Picks4 hits · 2 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Matthew Stafford to win MVP
“But the TV analysts are like my dear friend Matthew Award and that is why I think he's gonna get Matt staff”
Matthew Stafford won100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1 difficulty = +100 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Matthew Stafford
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Drake Maye to win MVP
“stats guys say, it's May by a mile ... But to me, it's like the running that kind of puts it over the top ... Would be Stafford's second.”
Matthew Stafford woncalled Drake Maye0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Tetairoa McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“Let's go offensive Rookie of the Year. I've already kind of made said my piece on this one, which was Tetero McMillan”
Tetairoa McMillan won100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1 difficulty = +100 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- offensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Carson Schwesinger to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“He's doing it for one of the best defense in the league. So he's my choice too.”
Carson Schwesinger won100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1 difficulty = +100 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- defensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jared Verse, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Carson Schwesinger
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Carson Schwesinger
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year
“everyone just knows obvious Miles Garrett is going to win the award, So I think we all probably would agree with that”
Myles Garrett won100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1 difficulty = +100 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- defensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Myles Garrett
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Myles Garrett
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Bijan Robinson to win Offensive Player of the Year
“I have Jon Robinson as my number one because to me, it's just best player in the ... So Bijon gets the Offensive Player of the Year”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba woncalled Bijan Robinson0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Bijan Robinson
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Coach Award Picks2 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Mike McDonald to win Coach of the Year
“I'm going to stick with where I was at, which was McDonald one, Kyle Shanahan two, and Ben Johnson three.”
Mike Vrabel woncalled Mike Macdonald0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Mike Macdonald
- naive:
- the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Mike Vrabel
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Zack Streef to win Assistant Coach of the Year
“I'm gonna go with Broncos offensive line code Zack Streef ... so I'm gonna go streat first”
Josh McDaniels woncalled Zack Streef0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- assistant_coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Zack Streef
- naive:
- we hold no 2024 winner, so the naive pick scored 0
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Josh McDaniels
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Tom Pelissero · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Pelissero laid out the Giants' quarterback situation with Jameis Winston starting, said Jayden Daniels likely won't be back when Washington plays the Giants and that Caleb Williams is unlikely to play Monday night, and floated Joey Porter Jr. landing in Dallas and Kirk Cousins being traded in-season.Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks.Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta.
More award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Willie Colon · Award Picks · Sam Darnold · Miss 0
Colon picked the Seahawks to win 24-14 with Sam Darnold as Super Bowl MVP.Eric Mangini · Award Picks · Kayshon Boutte · Miss 0
Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as their dark horse MVP.Danny Parkins · Award Picks · Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Miss 0
Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP.