Lance Zierlein· Oct 4, 2026
Predicts the Jaguars win in overtime at Cincinnati, 27-24, on a Cam Little field goal to move to 3-1.
“Ultimately, Cam Little kicks a game-winning field goal in overtime for a 27-24 win and a 3-1 start to the season.”
published in writing · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 95.2 out of 100, against 40.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Jaguars at Bengals 30 calls
1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsOct 4, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Bengals 24
“Jaguars win overtime nail-biter in Cincy ... "Cam Little kicks a game-winning field goal in overtime for a 27-24 win" (Week 4)”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 40.48+100.21 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 22-17
- skill:
- 100.21
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 40.48
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 1
- predicted margin:
- 3
What others said about the same people
- Ben McWilliamsScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Predicts both of Week 4's 'cat' games — Jaguars at Bengals and Lions at Panthers — produce at least 85 combined points, the highest-scoring games between cat teams in NFL history.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 95Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including upsets by the Jets in Chicago and the Buccaneers over the Packers, plus the Jaguars at Cincinnati.
- Dan ParrScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 90Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland.
- Jeremy PargoScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 95Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including an upset of the Colts by Washington in London and a Buccaneers win over the Packers.
- Eric MoodyScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 95Moody picked final scores for all 15 Week 4 games, including upsets by the Jaguars at Cincinnati and the Saints over Atlanta on Monday night.
- Shanna McCarristonGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100She predicts a close game in which the Jaguars beat the Bengals in Cincinnati in Week 4.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Mike KadlickScore Predictions · Detroit LionsClose · 43Kadlick predicts a Sunday night shootout in Charlotte, with Detroit beating Carolina 41–38 after four fourth-quarter lead changes to move to 3–1 while the Panthers fall to 1–3.
- Jacob WestendorfScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersHit · 95Westendorf expects the Packers to narrowly beat the Buccaneers, reasoning that Tampa Bay can't generate enough offense with an undrafted rookie making his first start.
- Bill HuberScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersHit · 83Huber picks Green Bay to beat Tampa Bay in a low-scoring game, arguing the Buccaneers' offensive limitations behind undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels will be the difference and the Packers will move to 2-2.
- Patricia TrainaScore Predictions · Arizona CardinalsMiss · 36Traina picks the Cardinals to beat the Giants 23-17, citing New York's red-zone drought and the loss of the RPO game with Jameis Winston replacing the injured Jaxson Dart.
- Pete MartuneacScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 95Martuneac predicts the Bears beat the Jets 30-17 in Week 4, moving to 3-1, with Tyson Bagent starting and the offense scoring early and often.
- Brandon KnappScore Predictions · Detroit LionsMiss · 12Predicts a lopsided Lions win over Carolina, 42-20.