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Grant CohnSep 3, 2026

Cohn expects Nick Bosa to start and play heavily at defensive end in the season opener against the Rams despite knee tendinitis, with Keion White also starting at defensive end (moving inside to tackle on third down), and predicts the 49ers will call up veteran Ogbo Okoronkwo from the practice squad for the game.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 2 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 3Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Grant Cohn said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
He most likely will start at defensive end and then move to defensive tackle on third down.
Grant Cohn, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
The 49ers are Unusually Thin at Defensive End Heading into Week 1
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 3
  2. GradedSep 25
  1. 1Ogbo Okoronkwo to land on the practice squad“Expect the 49ers to call up veteran defensive end Ogbo Okoronkwo from the practice squad for this game.”
  2. 2Keion White to be 1st on the depth chart“He most likely will start at defensive end and then move to defensive tackle on third down.”
  3. 3Nick Bosa to be 1st on the depth chart“Assuming his patellar knee tendinitis doesn't flare up again, he will start and play lots of snaps against the Rams even if he's not quite ready, because the 49ers are desperate.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Ogbo Okoronkwo to land on the practice squad1Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 530100−200
Keion White to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
Nick Bosa to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart Calls————
3 calls · 1 miss · 2 waiting0100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsOgbo OkoronkwoSan Francisco 49ers

    Ogbo Okoronkwo to land on the practice squad

    What happened3 weeks on a 53
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    SF
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Ogbo Okoronkwo
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he lands on the practice squad
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsKeion WhiteSan Francisco 49ers

    Keion White to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Depth Chart CallsNick BosaSan Francisco 49ers

    Nick Bosa to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.