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Big Cat· Nov 6, 2026

Big Cat picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the 49ers to handle the Raiders, the Seahawks to bounce back against the Cardinals, and the Bears to beat the Buccaneers by a projected 26-23.

“But I think the bears are gonna win. I think the bears are really fucking good.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Pardon My Take (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 78.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsNov 6, 2026

    Chicago Bears to beat Bucks

    “But I think the bears are gonna win. I think the bears are really fucking good.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5 · favorite pick, Bears 71%.

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  • Score PredictionsChicago BearsNov 6, 2026

    Chicago Bears 26 — Bucks 23

    “What do you think you, score projection? Twenty six twenty three.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 93.16+10.68 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    10.68
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    93.16
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 26–23 calls a closer game (Bears by 3) and more points (49).

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  • Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksNov 6, 2026

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals

    “I do think the Seahawks are gonna get right in this game... I think the Seahawks like this is where they're they're gonna find a way.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    3-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 6, 2026

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Raiders

    “I think the niners are gonna win this game, and I would probably take them to cover.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    17-38
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): 49ers by 8.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

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  • Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsNov 6, 2026

    Cincinnati Bengals to beat Falcons

    “The Bengals have to win this game, which I I think they they can and will win this game.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3 · favorite pick, Bengals 62%.

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What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

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