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AJ Hawk· Nov 2, 2026

Hawk picked the Seahawks to beat the Bears at home on Monday night, saying Seattle's defense would roll and Sam Darnold would do enough to win by about six points.

“That defense will roll, and I think Sam Dornan will do just enough to get the win, by probably about six points.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksNov 2, 2026

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Bears

    “I think this will be Seattle weather tonight. That defense will roll, and I think Sam Dornan will do just enough to get the win, by probably about six points. So give me the Seahawks minus three at home.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

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