Pete Prisco· Sep 30, 2026
Prisco picks every Week 4 NFL game with final scores, including upsets by the Browns over the Steelers and the Eagles over the Rams, plus the winless Texans beating the Cowboys.
“Upset special. Browns get to 3-1.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
16 checkable claims — 16 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 95.2 out of 100, against 95 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Steelers at Browns 15 calls
- Colts at Commanders 8 calls
- Packers at Buccaneers 4 calls
- Jaguars at Bengals 8 calls
- Jets at Bears 4 calls
- Cardinals at Giants 4 calls
- Rams at Eagles 13 calls
- Patriots at Bills 6 calls
- Titans at Ravens 3 calls
- Cowboys at Texans 18 calls
- Dolphins at Vikings 5 calls
- Broncos at 49ers 8 calls
- Chiefs at Raiders 8 calls
- Chargers at Seahawks 8 calls
- Lions at Panthers 6 calls
- Falcons at Saints 7 calls
16 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsCleveland BrownsSep 30, 2026
Cleveland Browns 21 — Steelers 20
“Pick: Browns 21, Steelers 20”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 95.04+0.36 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-27
- skill:
- 0.36
- they picked:
- CLE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 95.04
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 0.92
- predicted margin:
- 1
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsSep 30, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs 29 — Raiders 24
“Pick: Chiefs 29, Raiders 24”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsChicago BearsSep 30, 2026
Chicago Bears 23 — Jets 17
“Pick: Bears 23, Jets 17”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsCincinnati BengalsSep 30, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 23 — Jaguars 17
“Pick: Bengals 23, Jaguars 17”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsArizona CardinalsSep 30, 2026
Arizona Cardinals 24 — Giants 21
“Pick: Cardinals 24, Giants 21”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsMinnesota VikingsSep 30, 2026
Minnesota Vikings 27 — Dolphins 10
“Pick: Vikings 27, Dolphins 10”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsIndianapolis ColtsSep 30, 2026
Indianapolis Colts 31 — Commanders 30
“Pick: Colts 31, Commanders 30”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersSep 30, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 28 — Broncos 21
“Pick: 49ers 28, Broncos 21”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsSeattle SeahawksSep 30, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 30 — Chargers 20
“Pick: Seahawks 30, Chargers 20”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsAtlanta FalconsSep 30, 2026
Atlanta Falcons 33 — Saints 30
“Pick: Falcons 33, Saints 30”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsPhiladelphia EaglesSep 30, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles 30 — Rams 27
“Pick: Eagles 30, Rams 27”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersSep 30, 2026
Green Bay Packers 27 — Bucs 21
“Pick: Packers 27, Bucs 21”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsBaltimore RavensSep 30, 2026
Baltimore Ravens 33 — Titans 14
“Pick: Ravens 33, Titans 14”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsDetroit LionsSep 30, 2026
Detroit Lions 31 — Panthers 26
“Pick: Lions 31, Panthers 26”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsSep 30, 2026
Buffalo Bills 30 — Patriots 17
“Pick: Bills 30, Patriots 17”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsHouston TexansSep 30, 2026
Houston Texans 24 — Cowboys 18
“Pick: Texans 24, Cowboys 18”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- John BreechScore Predictions · Cleveland BrownsHit · 100Breech picked the Browns to edge the Steelers 19-16 on Thursday night and the Chiefs to beat the Raiders 30-23 in Week 4. He also indicated Caleb Williams would almost certainly miss Chicago's Week 4 game and that Jayden Daniels might play in London.
- Mike KadlickScore Predictions · Cleveland BrownsClose · 74Kadlick predicts Deshaun Watson throws for 300-plus yards against Pittsburgh on Thursday night, and that the Browns win their third straight game, beating the Steelers 24-10.
- Carter BahnsDepth Chart Calls · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0Bahns calls it reality that Shedeur Sanders will take over as Cleveland's starting quarterback by Week 4, with Deshaun Watson set to fail.
- Carter BahnsDepth Chart Calls · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0A CBS Sports preseason overreaction column argues Shedeur Sanders will take over as Cleveland's starting quarterback by Week 4, that Ja'Kobi Lane has a real path to a No. 2 receiver role as a rookie, and that Kenneth Walker III is a legitimate lead back atop the Chiefs' depth chart.
- Natalie KerwinMock Draft Picks · Spencer FanoClose · 71Natalie's Lions mock pick at No. 17 in the 2026 draft was Utah offensive tackle Spencer Fano, with Penn State guard Olaivavega Ioane as her backup selection at that spot.
- Jaime EisnerMock Draft Picks · Darrell JacksonMiss · 35A seven-round Falcons mock draft projecting Atlanta's five 2026 picks: CB Brandon Cisse at No. 48, IDL Darrell Jackson Jr. at No. 79, WR Brenen Thompson at No. 112, EDGE Mason Reiger at No. 215, and LB Shad Banks Jr. at No. 231. It also expects Cisse to go inside the top 50 and Jackson to be an immediate early-down contributor.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersClose · 48Dajani picked the Steelers 21-17 over the Browns on Thursday night and the Broncos to win 24-23 at the 49ers in Week 4.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersClose · 43Dubin picked the Steelers to win 20-14 in Cleveland on Thursday night and the Texans to beat the Cowboys 24-21 in Week 4.
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersClose · 48Sullivan picked the Steelers 21-17 over the Browns on Thursday night and the Rams to beat the Eagles 24-20 in Week 4.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersClose · 43Dubin picks the Steelers to beat the Browns 20-14 on Thursday night in Cleveland, saying he trusts Pittsburgh's offense slightly more than Cleveland's and doubts the Browns can move the ball consistently.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersClose · 48Dajani picked winners and final scores for eight Week 4 games, taking the Steelers, Colts, Bengals, Rams, Texans, Broncos, Lions and Saints, and expected Nico Collins back for Houston.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersClose · 43Dubin picked winners and final scores for the same eight Week 4 games, taking the Steelers, Colts, Jaguars, Rams, Texans, 49ers, Lions and Saints, and expected Nico Collins to be back for Houston.