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Adam ChudwinSep 4, 2026

In their annual game-by-game Bears prediction, Chudwin went through all 17 games and landed on a 12-5 season for Chicago.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

8 of 11calls landed8 hits · 3 misses · 7 waiting
72.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 11 calls
54.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
14Games calledeveryone’s picks below
7Waitingnot graded yet

What Adam Chudwin said

You've got them twelve and five.
Adam Chudwin, the lead quote
The episode
Hour 2: Former NFL Head Coach Sean McDermott, What’s More Likely, NFC South Prediction, Adam the call screener Plays Bears Win-Loss Game
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 4
  2. PlayedSep 13–Nov 8
  3. GradedSep 15–Nov 9

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Game Outcome Picks8036
Season Win Totals0001
All8037

How each call scored

18 checkable claims — 17 game outcome picks and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

11 of 18 have settled so far, averaging 72.7 out of 100, against 54.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Chicago Bears · 2026 season · wins

4 calls from 3 pundits between 9 wins and 12 wins. Adam Chudwin said 12 wins. the room's median is 10 wins. not settled yet

Adam Chudwin — 12 winsthe room — 4 calls from 3 punditsmedian 10 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Game Outcome Picks8 hits · 3 misses · 6 waitingShow ▸
  1. Chicago Bears to beat Bucs

    “Bucs at Bears. Baker, they're a good team... I think the Bears win that game.”

    Chicago Bears

    Bears 27–24Buccaneers at Bears
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Seattle Seahawks to beat Bears

    “at the Seahawks on a Monday night. That's going to be a very difficult game... I still think we get the loss.”

    Seattle Seahawks

    Bears 34–17Bears at Seahawks
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Chicago Bears to beat Patriots

    “home for the Patriots on a Thursday night... I think the Bears win the game.”

    Chicago Bears

    Bears 30–24Patriots at Bears
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    24-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Chicago Bears to beat Falcons

    “at the Falcons. I think that'll be a sneaky tough game, but we end up pulling away. Five and one”

    Chicago Bears

    Bears 31–23Bears at Falcons
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    31-23
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Chicago Bears to beat Packers

    “home for the Packers on Christmas... Bears, we get our get back. We win that game.”

    Chicago Bears

    Packers 31–7Bears at Packers
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Green Bay Packers to beat Bears

    “at the Packers. I hate to say it, but I think Green Bay gets their revenge and we lose that game.”

    Green Bay Packers

    Packers 31–7Bears at Packers
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Chicago Bears to beat Jets

    “Bears hosting the Jets. I don't really need to say anything for that. Four and o”

    Chicago Bears

    Bears 23–12Jets at Bears
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    12-23
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Chicago Bears to beat Eagles

    “Home on Monday night against the Eagles... We start three and o.”

    Chicago Bears

    Bears 27–7Eagles at Bears
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    7-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Chicago Bears to beat Vikings

    “I don't trust Kyler Murray. I think the Bears step up in that game. We win our home opener.”

    Chicago Bears

    Vikings 9–3Vikings at Bears
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    9-3
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Minnesota Vikings to beat Bears

    “And then at the Vikings? I think we end up losing that game.”

    Minnesota Vikings

    Vikings 9–3Vikings at Bears
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    9-3
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Chicago Bears to beat Panthers

    “What happens when they visit the Carolina Panthers to start the season... I think the Panthers will be good, but that's a win.”

    Chicago Bears

    Bears 59–37Bears at Panthers
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    59-37
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  12. Chicago Bears to beat Jacksonville Jaguars

    “Home for the Jacksonville Jaguars... they're gonna have to come into Chicago in cold weather. We get the win there.”

    Chicago Bears

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  13. Buffalo Bills to beat Bears

    “At the Bills on a Saturday night. Brutal game there... the Buffalo Bills get the win there.”

    Buffalo Bills

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  14. Chicago Bears to beat Dolphins

    “At the Dolphins... We win that game.”

    Chicago Bears

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  15. Detroit Lions to beat Bears

    “at the Lions on Thanksgiving. We struggle against the Lions... I just don't see us winning that game”

    Detroit Lions

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  16. Chicago Bears to beat Lions

    “home for the Lions. We finally beat the Lions. We win that game.”

    Chicago Bears

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  17. Chicago Bears to beat Saints

    “off the bye, home for the Saints. I don't think the Saints are that good.”

    Chicago Bears

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Season Win Totals1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Chicago Bears to finish with 12 wins

    “You've got them twelve and five. Exciting season.”

    Chicago Bears

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.