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Nick Wright· Oct 30, 2026

In his Week 8 show Nick Wright, while explaining which games he was not betting, still named outright winners: Buffalo over Baltimore by a field goal or so, Cincinnati blowing out Tennessee, the Rams handling the Chargers, and Dallas beating Arizona. He also gave a specific score for Seattle's Monday night game, expecting the Seahawks to beat the Bears 24-17.

“I think Seattle is going to have one of the more impressive two-week stretches anyone will have in the NFL all year with what they did last week to Kansas City and what I expect to be a 24-17 victory over the Chicago Bears.”

said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 42.1 out of 100, against 37 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Score PredictionsSeattle SeahawksOct 30, 2026

    Seattle Seahawks 24 — Chicago Bears 17

    “what I expect to be a 24-17 victory over the Chicago Bears, reminding everyone how dominant that defense is”

    Miss · 26Scored 26.19a naive guess scored 10.88+24.65 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    24.65
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    26.19
    baseline:
    10.88
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.57
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 7) and fewer points (41).

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  • Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysOct 30, 2026

    Dallas Cowboys to beat Arizona

    “I do think Dallas will win the game. I think Arizona covers the 6.5.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    33-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Cowboys by 7 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 3 in 4 (74%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

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  • Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsOct 30, 2026

    Cincinnati Bengals to beat Tennessee

    “Tennessee at Cincinnati. Cincinnati laying 10.5. I think Cincinnati blows them out.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    36-43
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bengals by 13.5 · favorite pick, Bengals about 6 in 7 (86%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    Think this is wrong?

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