Marcus Mosher· May 21, 2024
Mosher names four breakout wide receiver candidates for 2024: Drake London, Khalil Shakir, Wan'Dale Robinson and Marvin Mims. He suggests London could see around 150 targets and lead the NFL in catches and yards, and that Mims could reach 1,000 receiving yards and become Denver's No. 1 receiver by season's end.
“It won't be a shock to see him lead the NFL in catches and yards this season.”
published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original (as archived May 23, 2024) →
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy above is the record of what it said.
5 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 2 positional finishes and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 61.8 out of 100, against 48.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
1They said
1What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Depth Chart CallsMalik NabersNew York GiantsMay 21, 2024
Malik Nabers to be 1st on the depth chart
“rookie Malik Nabers gives the New York Giants a No. 1 receiver”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NYG
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Malik Nabers
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Positional FinishesDrake LondonAtlanta FalconsMay 21, 2024
Drake London to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
“It won't be a shock to see him lead the NFL in catches and yards this season.”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 0+150 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 150
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- receiving yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 30
- actual finish:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Depth Chart CallsMarvin Mims Jr.Denver BroncosMay 21, 2024
Marvin Mims Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
“It wouldn't be a shock if he was Denver's No. 1 receiver by the end of the season.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 100-33.33 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- DEN
- skill:
- -33.33
- player:
- Marvin Mims Jr.
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 3
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Marvin Mims Jr. to record 1,000 receiving yards
“If the Broncos get average play from Nix this season, Mims has a chance to be a 1,000-yard receiver in Payton's offense.”
Miss · 1Scored 0.6a naive guess scored 51.47-101.75 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 380.95
- skill:
- -101.75
- what happened:
- 503
- player:
- Marvin Mims Jr.
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0.6
- baseline:
- 51.47
- predicted:
- 1000
- statistic:
- receiving_yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 377
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 384.91
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Positional FinishesDrake LondonAtlanta FalconsMay 21, 2024
Drake London to finish top 1 at his position, by receptions
“It won't be a shock to see him lead the NFL in catches and yards this season.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- receptions
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 30
- actual finish:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Tracy SandlerGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick).
- Carmen VitaliGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100In the show's weekly picks segment Vitali took the Broncos over the Rams, the Ravens over the Cowboys in Rio, Tampa at home over Minnesota, the Bills over the Chargers and the Eagles on the road in Chicago. She also agreed that Caleb Williams would be out roughly two to three weeks.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Aaron JonesHit · 100In previewing the 10 most intriguing fantasy performers of Week 2, Fitzmaurice expects Atlanta's quarterback problems to persist with Tua Tagovailoa unlikely to play and Michael Penix Jr. not ready to return, flags Falcons slot corner Billy Bowman Jr. as a possible Week 2 returnee, and describes Aaron Jones as Minnesota's lead back and Kaelon Black as the clear backup to Christian McCaffrey in San Francisco.
- Matt SeveranceDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The CBS Sports preview backs Tampa Bay to beat Cleveland in the Bucs' Week 2 home opener, and states that Deshaun Watson — not Shedeur Sanders — will be Cleveland's starting quarterback in Week 2.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins.
- Bradley LockerDepth Chart Calls · Carson WentzHit · 100PFF's unsigned adjusted power rankings after Week 1 of the 2026 season place the Bills first, the Rams second and the Dolphins last, with notes on quarterback situations in Seattle, Minnesota and Cleveland.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Rashod BatemanMiss · 0In his Week 2 waiver wire column, Fitzmaurice recommends a slate of pickups he expects to outperform their current rostership (Kaelon Black, Deebo Samuel, Tyler Shough, Geno Smith and others), lays out several depth-chart expectations (Black as the 49ers' No. 2 back, Shedeur Sanders eventually taking over in Cleveland, Penix returning for Atlanta), and flags Fool's Gold/drop candidates such as Mike Gesicki, Kendrick Bourne and Rashid Shaheed.
- Bill HuberDepth Chart Calls · Chris McClellanMiss · 0Huber's first Packers rookie progress report projects second-round cornerback Brandon Cisse to hold onto his spot with the No. 1 defense, third-round defensive tackle Chris McClellan to start in Week 1, and fifth-round lineman Jager Burton to be the team's top interior backup rather than a starter.