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Sam MonsonOct 15, 2026

Monson says the Rams will start a winning run now that the schedule eases, beginning with a win over the Cardinals.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Check the Mic (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Cardinals 18–16What happenedCardinals at Rams
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Sam Monson said

this is just the next game where they get to go in there and win.
Our reading: Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals
Where it was said
Check the Mic (podcast)
The episode
NFL Week 6 Preview & Picks: EVERY GAME!
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidOct 15
  2. PlayedOct 18
  3. GradedOct 19

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals

    What happenedCardinals 18–16Cardinals at Rams
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Rams by 12.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 5 in 6 (84%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    18-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?

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