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Lance Zierlein#11 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 2, 2025

Lance says they do not see Riley Leonard as a starter, expects Jayden Higgins to be a second-round receiver, and believes Dominic Lovett can become a starting slot receiver.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 close call · 1 waiting
58.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
66.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
#11Lance Zierlein’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Lance Zierlein said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
NOW i don't see a starter personally With Riley. LEONARD
Lance Zierlein, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
2025 NFL Combine Recap: QBs, WRs, and RBs
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMar 2, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Dominic Lovett to be 1st on the depth chart“BUT i Think Love it has a chance to be a really, fun under the radar starting. SLOT”
  2. 2Jayden Higgins to be picked “in the second, round”“because a discount tech tech McMillan's going to Be Jadan higgin in the second, round”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Dominic Lovett to be 1st on the depth chart1Depth Chart CallsNo. 658.3366.67−16.67
Jayden Higgins to be picked “in the second, round”2Mock Draft Picks————
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 waiting58.366.7

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 58.3 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said
6What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsDominic Lovett

    Dominic Lovett to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 6called No. 1 · by receptions
    58.33Close · naive 66.67
    58.33this call66.67a naive guess−8.34worse than naive2difficulty−16.67skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    DET
    skill:
    −16.67
    player:
    Dominic Lovett
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    58.33
    baseline:
    66.67
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    6
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksJayden Higgins

    Jayden Higgins to be picked “in the second, round”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.