Ralph VentreAug 23, 2026

Ventre expects five Bills wide receivers — DJ Moore, Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Joshua Palmer and rookie Skyler Bell — to be locks for the 53-man roster, with one remaining spot up for grabs, and believes undrafted rookie Ja'mori Maclin has at least secured a practice squad opportunity.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

5 of 5calls landed5 hits · 1 waiting

100Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls

80A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

5 of 6Settled1 still waiting

1Waitingnot graded yet

What Ralph Ventre said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

At this point, Maclin appears to have locked up a practice squad opportunity, and he's seriously challenging two veterans for a spot on the 53-man roster.

Ralph Ventre, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Bills' WR Roster Battle Just Got Really Interesting With Two Breakouts vs. Browns
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidAug 23
GradedSep 25

1Keon Coleman to make the roster“With DJ Moore, Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Joshua Palmer and fourth-round rookie Skyler Bell seemingly destined for roster spots”
2Skyler Bell to make the roster“fourth-round rookie Skyler Bell seemingly destined for roster spots”
3Khalil Shakir to make the roster“With DJ Moore, Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Joshua Palmer and fourth-round rookie Skyler Bell seemingly destined for roster spots”
4DJ Moore to make the roster“With DJ Moore, Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Joshua Palmer and fourth-round rookie Skyler Bell seemingly destined for roster spots”
5Josh Palmer to make the roster“With DJ Moore, Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Joshua Palmer and fourth-round rookie Skyler Bell seemingly destined for roster spots”
6Ja'Mori Maclin to land on the practice squad“At this point, Maclin appears to have locked up a practice squad opportunity”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Keon Coleman to make the roster¹	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
Skyler Bell to make the roster²	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	0	+200
Khalil Shakir to make the roster³	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
DJ Moore to make the roster⁴	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
Josh Palmer to make the roster⁵	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
Ja'Mori Maclin to land on the practice squad⁶	Roster Spot Calls	—	—	—	—
6 calls · 5 hits · 1 waiting			100	80

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

6 checkable claims — 6 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

5 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 80 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Roster Spot Calls Keon Coleman Buffalo Bills
Keon Coleman to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
BUF
skill:
0
player:
Keon Coleman
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Roster Spot Calls Skyler Bell Buffalo Bills
Skyler Bell to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
club:
BUF
skill:
200
player:
Skyler Bell
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
3Roster Spot Calls Khalil Shakir Buffalo Bills
Khalil Shakir to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
BUF
skill:
0
player:
Khalil Shakir
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
4Roster Spot Calls DJ Moore Buffalo Bills
DJ Moore to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
BUF
skill:
0
player:
DJ Moore
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
5Roster Spot Calls Josh Palmer Buffalo Bills
Josh Palmer to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
BUF
skill:
0
player:
Josh Palmer
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
6Roster Spot Calls Ja'Mori Maclin Buffalo Bills
Ja'Mori Maclin to land on the practice squad
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 80