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John Breech· Oct 5, 2026

Breech picked the Falcons to beat the Saints 26-23 on Monday night, and said if Lamar Jackson misses time, Tyler Huntley would start for Baltimore.

“John Breech's pick: Falcons 26-23 over Saints”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 57.1 out of 100, against 1.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Atlanta Falcons 26 — Saints 23

    “John Breech's pick: Falcons 26-23 over Saints”

    Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 1.56+101.71 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    45-24
    skill:
    101.71
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    57.14
    baseline:
    1.56
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    0.66
    predicted margin:
    3

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  • Tyler Huntley to be 1st on the depth chart

    “If he has to miss any time, then Tyler Huntley will be the starter in Baltimore.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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