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Nick Wright· Nov 5, 2026

Wright expects the 49ers to release Brandon Aiyuk once he reports, predicts Jacksonville blows out Baltimore on Thursday night, sees the Jaguars finishing around 13-4 or 14-3, and thinks Seattle's defense carries them past Arizona even with Drew Lock starting.

“I mean, they have 13-4 kind of written all over them, maybe 14-3, and a legitimate, legitimate A-list contender.”

said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 1 season win total and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksNov 5, 2026

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals

    “I don't think it matters who's going to play quarterback for them this weekend. I think their defense against Gardner Minshew should be enough.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    3-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).

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  • Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsNov 5, 2026

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Ravens

    “yes, I like the Jags to blow out the Ravens tonight... I don't think they have any shot at competing tonight. I think the Jags are going to put it on them.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    33-10
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (79%).

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  • Season Win TotalsJacksonville JaguarsNov 5, 2026

    Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 13–14 wins

    “So, I mean, they have 13-4 kind of written all over them, maybe 14-3, and a legitimate, legitimate A-list contender.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Trade and Signing CallsBrandon AiyukNov 5, 2026

    Brandon Aiyuk to move — “they're going to cut him”

    “The way this is going to work, he's going to show up, they're going to cut him, and then he's going to see if anybody else wants to pick him up... They are not going to keep Brandon Ayuk.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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