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Mike Florio#15 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 13, 2026

Florio argues the Rams' next three games — home against Arizona, at Las Vegas, and home against the Chargers — are all winnable and could lift the 2-3 Rams to 5-3.

Published in writing · NBC SportsRead the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · all settled
66.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
33.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#15Mike Florio’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Mike Florio said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
All are winnable, which could boost the Rams to 5-3.
Mike Florio, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
NBC Sports
The piece
Sean McVay: Field goal unit "cost us the game tonight"
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 13
  2. PlayedOct 18–Nov 1
  3. GradedOct 19–Nov 2
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers“followed by a home game against the Chargers. All are winnable, which could boost the Rams to 5-3.”
  2. 2Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders“After that, the Rams visit the Raiders ... All are winnable, which could boost the Rams to 5-3.”
  3. 3Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals“The next game is on Sunday, against the Cardinals. ... All are winnable, which could boost the Rams to 5-3.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers1Game Outcome PicksRams 24–91001000
Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders2Game Outcome PicksRams 35–211000+172
Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals3Game Outcome PicksCardinals 18–16000
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled66.733.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers

    What happenedRams 24–9Chargers at Rams
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    9-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders

    What happenedRams 35–21Rams at Raiders
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.72difficulty+172skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    35-21
    skill:
    172
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LV
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals

    What happenedCardinals 18–16Cardinals at Rams
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Rams by 12.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 5 in 6 (84%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    18-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    66.7naive 33.3

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.