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Kimmi ChexApr 12, 2025

In the Good Morning Football 2025 mock draft, they took Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Will Campbell eighth to Carolina, Will Johnson ninth to New Orleans and Tetairoa McMillan 16th to Arizona.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled
68.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Kimmi Chex said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'm going to select cam Ward quarterback from I will you.
Kimmi Chex, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Saturday Special: Justin Reid, GMFB Mock Draft, Bears Outlook, and Rap Draft!
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 12, 2025
  2. GradedOct 1, 2026
  1. 1Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at number 16“for number sixteen, here I got the Arizona Cardinals... I'm gonna go with ted Rohan McMillan.”
  2. 2Cam Ward to be picked at number 1“I'm going to select cam Ward quarterback from I will you... Tennessee. Lock up the U, cam Ward.”
  3. 3Will Campbell to be picked at number 8“I want to go with Will Campbell... So that's what I got for number eight.”
  4. 4Will Johnson to be picked at number 9“they need to pick a corner with the loss of Marshawn Lattimore during free agency, So I'm gonna go with Will Johnson... I like Will Johnson over to New Orleans with the Saints.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at number 161Mock Draft PicksWent 870.7150+40
Cam Ward to be picked at number 12Mock Draft PicksWent 110050+40
Will Campbell to be picked at number 83Mock Draft PicksWent 484.0950+40
Will Johnson to be picked at number 94Mock Draft PicksWent 4719.2850+40
4 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled68.550

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 68.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
16They said
8What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksTetairoa McMillanArizona Cardinals

    Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at number 16

    What happenedWent 8mocked at 16
    70.71Close · naive 50
    90this mock’s order50a shuffled mock40better than naive1difficulty+40skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    40
    player:
    Tetairoa McMillan
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    90
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksCam WardTennessee Titans

    Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    90this mock’s order50a shuffled mock40better than naive1difficulty+40skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    40
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    90
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksWill CampbellCarolina Panthers

    Will Campbell to be picked at number 8

    What happenedWent 4mocked at 8
    84.09Hit · naive 50
    90this mock’s order50a shuffled mock40better than naive1difficulty+40skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    40
    player:
    Will Campbell
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    90
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Mock Draft PicksWill JohnsonNew Orleans Saints

    Will Johnson to be picked at number 9

    What happenedWent 47mocked at 9
    19.28Miss · naive 50
    90this mock’s order50a shuffled mock40better than naive1difficulty+40skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    40
    player:
    Will Johnson
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    19.28
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    47
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    19.28
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    90
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    68.5naive 50

Who this take is about

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