Jeff CavanaughSep 3, 2026

Jeff went game-by-game through the Cowboys schedule, initially arriving at 13-4 before flipping a game to settle on a 12-5 final record prediction, with Dallas beating the Giants, Commanders, Ravens, Buccaneers, Packers, Cardinals, Colts, 49ers, Titans, Eagles (home), plus wins to close, and losing to the Texans, Eagles (road), Seahawks and Rams.

Said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 9calls landed3 hits · 6 misses · 7 waiting

33.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 9 calls

22.2A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

12Games calledeveryone’s picks below

7Waitingnot graded yet

What Jeff Cavanaugh said

So I'm gonna bring them down to twelve and five.

Jeff Cavanaugh, the lead quote

Where it was said: DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)
The episode: Cowboys Ace Their Tough Decisions, Record Predictions & More Defensive Optimism
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 3
PlayedSep 20–Nov 8
GradedSep 21–Nov 8

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Misses	Waiting
Game Outcome Picks	3	6	4
Player Season Numbers	0	0	1
Season Win Totals	0	0	2
All	3	6	7

How each call scored

16 checkable claims — 13 game outcome picks, 2 season win totals and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

9 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 22.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 3 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 2.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game Outcome Picks3 hits · 6 misses · 4 waitingShow ▸

Dallas Cowboys to beat Indianapolis Colts
“Cowboys beat the Indianapolis Colts.”
Dallas Cowboys
Cowboys 27–23Cowboys at Colts
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
won:
DAL
score:
27-23
skill:
200
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
IND
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to beat Arizona Cardinals
“Cowboys host the Arizona Cardinals, and it's a win.”
Dallas Cowboys
Cardinals 33–30Cardinals at Cowboys
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
won:
ARI
score:
33-30
skill:
0
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DAL
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Cowboys
“I'm gonna have the Philadelphia Eagles beat the Cowboys, and I'm gonna have the Cowboys beat them later.”
Philadelphia Eagles
Cowboys 38–21Cowboys at Eagles
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
won:
DAL
score:
38-21
skill:
0
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to beat Eagles
“Cowboys host the Eagles, and I already had them lose their earlier game to the Eagles... I I gotta win and get home.”
Dallas Cowboys
Cowboys 38–21Cowboys at Eagles
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
won:
DAL
score:
38-21
skill:
200
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to beat Packers
“Cowboys are five and one according to me.”
Dallas Cowboys
Packers 23–13Cowboys at Packers
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
How this was scored
won:
GB
score:
13-23
skill:
−200
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
GB
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“Short week, but you're better. You're better than Tampa. It's a dub.”
Dallas Cowboys
Buccaneers 24–16Buccaneers at Cowboys
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
won:
TB
score:
24-16
skill:
0
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DAL
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Houston Texans to beat Cowboys
“I will say the best defense in the league is able to beat the Cowboys and send them to three in one.”
Houston Texans
Cowboys 34–30Cowboys at Texans
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
won:
DAL
score:
34-30
skill:
0
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to beat Baltimore Ravens
“I'll say the Cowboys start three and o.”
Dallas Cowboys
Ravens 34–31Ravens at Cowboys
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
won:
BAL
score:
34-31
skill:
0
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DAL
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to beat Washington commanders
“I think Washington might be worse than New York... Cowboys win big at home.”
Dallas Cowboys
Cowboys 37–20Commanders at Cowboys
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
won:
DAL
score:
20-37
skill:
0
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DAL
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cowboys
“I gotta give them a loss. They'd lose to the Seahawks.”
Seattle Seahawks
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to beat Tennessee Titans
“Then you host the Tennessee Titans. Jeff's got the Cowboys at eleven and two.”
Dallas Cowboys
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to beat San Francisco forty niners
“Alright. Cowboys beat the forty niners.”
Dallas Cowboys
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to beat Cowboys
“Cowboys go to the Rams... I'm gonna give my loss to the Rams.”
Los Angeles Rams
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Player Season Numbers1 waitingShow ▸

Mike Evans to record 1,000 receiving yards
“Mike Evans is gonna have a thousand yard.”
Mike Evans
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Season Win Totals2 waitingShow ▸

Dallas Cowboys to finish with 12 wins
“So I'm gonna bring them down to twelve and five. And we've got it right.”
Dallas Cowboys
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins
“Healthy Lamar Jackson wins 12 games every year. He just does. The Ravens are gonna win 12 games.”
Baltimore Ravens
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Drew Lock · Hit 100
Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
Brandon Carney · Trade and Signing Calls · Mike Evans · Miss 0
Carney predicts Geno Smith signs with the Vikings and starts for them, that at least four of the fringe veteran quarterbacks (Tua, Kyler, Cousins, Fields, Geno) will be starters next season, and that Mike Evans stays with Tampa Bay. They also rank their top fantasy wide receivers and comments on running back landing spots and trade values.
Bobby Skinner · Trade and Signing Calls · Stefon Diggs · Miss 0
Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed.
Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner.
Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Micah Parsons · Miss 0
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.
Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him.

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.
Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.
Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.
Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.