Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 5, 2026

Cowherd picked through the NFL wild-card round, taking New England over the Chargers in a low-scoring game, Jacksonville over Buffalo by a touchdown, Baltimore in a close game, the Rams over Carolina, Philadelphia over San Francisco and Chicago over Green Bay, and said if they had to pick a Super Bowl winner today it would be Seattle. They also picked Miami and Indiana in the college semifinals.

Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

4 of 5calls landed4 hits · 1 miss · all settled

80Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls

40A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

5 of 5Settlednone still waiting

#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

IF i had to pick a team to win The Super bowl, today it would Be Seattle

Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)
The episode: Week 18 Games Were AWFUL, NFL Playoff Preview, College Football Playoff Predictions
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJan 4
GradedAug 5–17

1Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay“So I like Chicago in this spot... I think they're both going to win their opening games.”
2Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina“I think the Rams win this game.”
3New England Patriots to beat Chargers“I think I would take New England in a very low scoring game.”
4Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Bills“I think I would take Jacksonville by a touchdown, what say you?”
5Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl“IF i had to pick a team to win The Super bowl, today it would Be Seattle”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay¹	Game Outcome Picks	—	100	100	0
Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina²	Game Outcome Picks	—	100	0	+100
New England Patriots to beat Chargers³	Game Outcome Picks	—	100	100	0
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Bills⁴	Game Outcome Picks	—	0	0	0
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl⁵	Super Bowl Picks	SEA won it	100	0	+100
5 calls · 4 hits · 1 miss · all settled			80	40

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 80 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Game Outcome Picks Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
Closing line (Jan 10): Packers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Bears 45%.
How this was scored
won:
CHI
score:
27-31
skill:
0
they picked:
CHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
CHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
Closing line (Jan 10): Rams by 10 · favorite pick, Rams about 4 in 5 (81%).
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
34-31
skill:
100
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
CAR
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
3Game Outcome Picks New England Patriots
New England Patriots to beat Chargers
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
Closing line (Jan 11): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 64%.
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
3-16
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
4Game Outcome Picks Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Bills
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
Closing line (Jan 11): Jaguars by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 47%, Jaguars 53%.
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
27-24
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
JAX
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
5Super Bowl Picks Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked SEA
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
80naive 40

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Drew Lock · Hit 100
Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
Dave Richard · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
John Pluym · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.
Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.
Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.
Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.