Darius Hayes· Oct 5, 2026
Predicts the Falcons grind out a close road win, 20-17, behind the running game and late defensive stops.
“The Atlanta Falcons will grind out a close victory over the New Orleans Saints.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 57.1 out of 100, against 1.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Falcons at Saints 32 calls
1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsAtlanta FalconsOct 5, 2026
Atlanta Falcons 20 — Saints 17
“Prediction: Falcons 20, Saints 17”
Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 1.56+101.71 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 45-24
- skill:
- 101.71
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 57.14
- baseline:
- 1.56
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 0.66
- predicted margin:
- 3
What others said about the same people
- John BreechScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 57Breech picked the Falcons to beat the Saints 26-23 on Monday night, and said if Lamar Jackson misses time, Tyler Huntley would start for Baltimore.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 57Prisco picked the Falcons to outscore the Saints 33-30.
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 55Sullivan picked the Falcons to beat the Saints 26-24.
- Gerald Thomas, IIIScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 60Predicts the Falcons win on the road in New Orleans by a score of 25-21.
- Scott KennedyScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 67Believes the Falcons' play in the trenches decides the game and picks Atlanta 27-20.
- Garrett ChapmanScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 67Picks the Falcons to win 24-17 in New Orleans.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 19Dubin picked the Saints to beat the Falcons 28-20 on Monday night.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 7Dajani picked the Saints to edge the Falcons 23-20.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 7Dubin predicts the Saints beat the Falcons in a close Monday night game, 23-20, if New Orleans can avoid turnovers.
- Jerry JonesScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 10Expects a shootout decided on the last possession, with the Saints beating the Falcons 31-27.
- Dan ParrScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 7Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 5Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including upsets by the Jets in Chicago and the Buccaneers over the Packers, plus the Jaguars at Cincinnati.