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Hondo Carpenter· Aug 22, 2026

Carpenter projects the Raiders' 53-man roster will include 10 defensive backs (four safeties and six cornerbacks) and three quarterbacks, with Kirk Cousins kept barring a compelling trade offer.

“I projected in my last 53-man roster article that the Silver and Black will keep 10 defensive backs.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kirk Cousins to make the roster

    “I have said that since they signed QB Kirk Cousins, barring a trade offer that makes it mandatory that they move him, the team is expected to carry three QBs on the 53-man roster.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    LV
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Kirk Cousins
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

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