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Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 11, 2026

Previewing Week 1, Nick Wright said Tampa Bay would go into Cincinnati and win the game outright, citing the Bengals' history of slow starts. They also described Washington as a team likely to end up picking in the top 10 of the draft.

Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think Tampa Bay goes to Cincinnati and wins outright.
Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
What's Wright - NFL Week 1 Predictions: Broncos-Chiefs, Bills-Texans, Commanders-Eagles, Ravens-Colts, Bucs-Bengals
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 11
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 15
  1. 1Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Cincinnati“I think Tampa Bay goes to Cincinnati and wins outright. At the very least, I don't think Cincinnati's beating them by margin.”
  2. 2Washington Commanders to pick “picking in the top 10” (picks 1–10)“against a team that I feel like is, you know, likely to be picking in the top 10”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Cincinnati1Game Outcome PicksBengals 33–270100−200
Washington Commanders to pick “picking in the top 10” (picks 1–10)2Team Draft Slot Calls————
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting0100

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Cincinnati

    What happenedBengals 33–27Buccaneers at Bengals
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Bengals by 3.5 · underdog pick, Buccaneers about 1 in 3 (36%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    27-33
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Team Draft Slot CallsWashington Commanders

    Washington Commanders to pick “picking in the top 10” (picks 1–10)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.