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Scott Kennedy· Oct 5, 2026

Believes the Falcons' play in the trenches decides the game and picks Atlanta 27-20.

“I think the offensive and defensive lines make the difference in this game.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 66.7 out of 100, against 1.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Atlanta Falcons 27 — Saints 20

    “Prediction: Falcons 27, Saints 20”

    Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 1.56+119.14 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    45-24
    skill:
    119.14
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    66.67
    baseline:
    1.56
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    0.66
    predicted margin:
    7

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