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PFTNov 6, 2026

PFT picked the Cowboys to beat the Colts, saying they have no faith in Indianapolis right now.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Pardon My Take (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100

Cowboys 27–23What happenedCowboys at Colts

0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

+156Skillafter difficulty

What PFT said

I think the Cowboys should win because I have no faith in the Colts' ability to do anything after what we've seen.

Our reading: Dallas Cowboys to beat Colts

Where it was said: Pardon My Take (podcast)
The episode: NFL Week 9 Picks And Preview, TNF Sucked, Brian Baldinger Joins The Show To Talk Some Ball Plus Fyre Fest Of The Week
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidNov 6
PlayedNov 8
GradedNov 8

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Game Outcome Picks Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to beat Colts
What happenedCowboys 27–23Cowboys at Colts
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.56difficulty+156skill
Closing line (Nov 8): Cowboys by 4.5 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 2 in 3 (66%).
How this was scored
won:
DAL
score:
27-23
skill:
156
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
IND
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Cowboys at ColtsCowboys 27Colts 2317 calls →

Who this take is about

Dallas Cowboys

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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