John Middlekauff· Oct 30, 2026
After the Packers' Thursday night win over Carolina, Middlekauff set Green Bay's season range at nine to about eleven wins, said Jordan Love will throw double-digit interceptions this year, and picked Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh, Detroit and Jacksonville to win their Week 8 games. He also predicted the Titans win only three games, that Jeffrey Simmons is a lock for another All-Pro if healthy, that the Bears will draft in the 20s, that Cleveland will never give Deshaun Watson another dollar, and he named Brian Flores his Coach of the Year.
“I would say, worst case, they're nine wins. Best case, 11-ish.”
said on air or in an interview · 3 and Out with John Middlekauff (podcast) · read the original →
9 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 2 season win totals, 1 coach award pick, 1 pro bowl and all-pro call and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Colts at Jaguars 14 calls
- Falcons at Buccaneers 15 calls
- Vikings at Lions 23 calls
- Browns at Steelers 34 calls
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersOct 30, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Cleveland Browns
“I like Pittsburgh a lot in this spot. I really do. ... So I like Pittsburgh in this spot. I by no means take Cleveland.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 6-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 64%.
- Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsOct 30, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Colts
“Would anyone be shocked if Jacksonville just runs them out of the building? ... I could see this thing being a bloodbath.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 7-42
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 1): Jaguars by 10 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (80%).
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsOct 30, 2026
Detroit Lions to beat Minnesota
“It's why I like Detroit big in this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DET
- score:
- 15-19
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 1): Lions by 3 · favorite pick, Lions 60%.
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 30, 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Atlanta
“But to me, if Tampa gets some momentum off that win and generate pressure, I like Tampa in this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 0-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 1): Buccaneers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Buccaneers 54%.
Jeffery Simmons to make All-Pro
“who's coming off an all-pro season in 25, who, if he stays healthy, is a lock to be an all-pro again”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Team Draft Slot CallsChicago BearsOct 30, 2026
Chicago Bears to pick “drafting in the 20s”
“you're going to be drafting in the 20s. Worst case scenario for the Bears, you don't win the division, you lose in the first round, that picks 23.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Coach Award PicksOct 30, 2026
Flores to win Coach of the Year
“I don't think he's the assistant coach of the year. I think he's the coach of the year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsTennessee TitansOct 30, 2026
Tennessee Titans to finish with 3 wins
“They look best-case scenario win four games... But if I was Ben Mann right now, I'd say three wins. I'd say three wins.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsGreen Bay PackersOct 30, 2026
Green Bay Packers to finish with ? wins
“I would say, worst case, they're nine wins. Best case, 11-ish. It's hard to see them winning the division if they can't run the ball, but that was impressive.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
What others said about the same people
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 64Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Bryan DeArdoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.
- Christian BooherRoster Spot Calls · Anthony LucasMiss · 0Booher previews the Lions' Week 9 trip to Miami, predicting Derrick Barnes takes over as the green-dot linebacker in Jack Campbell's absence, Juice Scruggs starts at center, and boldly forecasting Detroit's first defensive touchdown of the season on an Aidan Hutchinson strip-sack recovered and returned by Barnes.
- Derek BrownGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jeremy BrenerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Maldonado picks the Seahawks in Week 9.