Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 1, 2025
Eisen agreed the NFC West will send three teams to the playoffs (Seahawks, 49ers and Rams), endorsed the Bears finishing no worse than the No. 2 seed, and said Chicago would beat Green Bay at home.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Rich Eisen said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromBut I I think the West is getting three teams if that's what you're asking.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 13: Tomlin's Hot Seat, Broncos, Bears, Lane Kiffin & More
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidDec 1, 2025
- GradedAug 13–17, 2026
- 1Chicago Bears to beat Packers“and I think they could beat the Packers at home for sure”
- 2Chicago Bears to take the top seed“And I think that's no worse than the two seed there... So I I don't think that's an overreaction because they take the ball away and they're running it, and Caleb's not giving it away.”
- 3San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs“But I I think the West is getting three teams if that's what you're asking.”
- 4Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs“But I I think the West is getting three teams if that's what you're asking.”
- 5Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs“they're certainly not gonna be out of the playoffs... But I I think the West is getting three teams”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears to beat Packers1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −133 | |
| Chicago Bears to take the top seed2 | Seeding, Byes and Home Field | — | 100 | 0 | +133 | |
| San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs3 | Playoff Picks | Made the playoffs | 100 | 0 | +133 | |
| Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs4 | Playoff Picks | Made the playoffs | 100 | 0 | +133 | |
| Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs5 | Playoff Picks | Made the playoffs | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| 5 calls · 4 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 80 | 40 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive5 checkable claims — 3 playoff picks, 1 game outcome pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 80 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears
Chicago Bears to beat Packers
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.33difficulty=−133skillClosing line (Dec 7): Packers by 6.5 · underdog pick, Bears 28%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 21-28
- skill:
- −133
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.33
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 6
2Seeding, Byes and Home FieldChicago Bears
Chicago Bears to take the top seed
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.33difficulty=+133skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 133
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- checked as:
- seeds 2–4 host a wild-card game — the bracket cannot separate them further
- actual tier:
- host
- difficulty:
- 1.33
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (missed the playoffs)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 2
- claimed tier:
- host
- weeks left when called:
- 6
3Playoff PicksSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.33difficulty=+133skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- SF
- skill:
- 133
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.33
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 6
4Playoff PicksSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.33difficulty=+133skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- SEA
- skill:
- 133
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.33
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 6
5Playoff PicksLos Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.33difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- LAR
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.33
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 6
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
80naive 40
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
More playoff picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Ross Jackson · Playoff Picks · New Orleans Saints · Miss 0
Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.Chris Brockman · Playoff Picks · Pittsburgh Steelers · Hit 100
Brockman argued the road to the Super Bowl in the AFC goes through Foxborough, meaning the Patriots will finish as the No. 1 seed, and called their shot that the Chargers beat Denver in Week 18. They also declared the Bears a team of destiny who will win the NFC, said the Steelers will end their playoff win drought, and that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback.Chris Brockman · Playoff Picks · Buffalo Bills · Hit 100
Brockman argued the Texans will reach the AFC Championship Game, declared the Chiefs dynasty over, said the road to the Super Bowl in the NFC goes through Lambeau Field, that Josh Allen is still the most dangerous QB and the Bills will win a playoff game (with the AFC East runner-up as the 5 seed winning in Pittsburgh or Baltimore), that Carolina will win the NFC South, that Baltimore finishes under .500 with Lamar no longer a top-five QB, that the Colts should trade for Mac Jones, and that Marcus Freeman will be in the NFL next year.