Jason La CanforaAug 22, 2026

La Canfora argues undrafted rookie QB Joe Fagnano has earned a spot with the Ravens, at least on the practice squad, and predicts they will play a good deal in the preseason finale.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0Miss · out of 100

3 weeks on a 53What happenedsettled

100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

0This callout of 100

−200Skillafter difficulty

What Jason La Canfora said

Once again Fagnano exceeded all reasonable hopes and expectations and he has absolutely played his way on to the roster as at least a practice squad signee.

Our reading: Joe Fagnano to land on the practice squad

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Ravens Rookie QB Joe Fagnano Playing Way Onto Practice Squad With Another Preseason Gem
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidAug 22
GradedSep 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Roster Spot Calls Joe Fagnano Baltimore Ravens
Joe Fagnano to land on the practice squad
What happened3 weeks on a 53
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
How this was scored
club:
BAL
skill:
−200
player:
Joe Fagnano
season:
2026
claimed:
he lands on the practice squad
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
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