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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 13, 2026

Cowherd is high on Fernando Mendoza, calling them a first-round prospect who fits none of the bust profiles, and expects Kirk Cousins to open the season as the starter. Among their five bold predictions they have Justin Herbert winning multiple playoff games and Caleb Williams winning MVP.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 3 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 4Settled3 still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Caleb Williams MVP.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
THE HERD – HOUR 1 – Fernando Mendoza Is Bust-Proof, BOLD NFL Predictions
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidAug 13
  2. GradedAug 17
  1. 1Fernando Mendoza to be picked “first round prospect” (picks 1–32)“And he's not wildly overdrafted. Some may have him as amid to a late first rounder... He is a first round prospect.”
  2. 2Caleb Williams to win MVP“Finally for me, Caleb Williams wins MVP.”
  3. 3Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs“I have Justin Herbert winning multiple playoff games... his best offensive coordinator at least two playoff wins”
  4. 4Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart“It's interesting that Kirk Cousins is going to start probably week one”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Fernando Mendoza to be picked “first round prospect” (picks 1–32)1Mock Draft PicksWent 110050—
Caleb Williams to win MVP2Award Picks————
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs3Playoff Picks————
Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart4Depth Chart Calls————
4 calls · 1 hit · 3 waiting10050

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 depth chart call, 1 mock draft pick and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
first round prospect (picks 1–32)They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksFernando Mendoza

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked “first round prospect” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round prospect (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Playoff PicksLos Angeles Chargers

    Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Depth Chart CallsKirk Cousins

    Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.