Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 3, 2025
Rosenthal expects the Bills to beat the Patriots but in a shootout, likes the Broncos to go into Philadelphia and win outright, and calls Seattle at home over Tampa Bay their pick of the year, believing the Seahawks are the best team in the league right now.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Gregg Rosenthal said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think the Patriots are going to give up a ton of points and the defense is going to be a problem. And the Bills win.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- Week 5 NFL Picks From London with Cynthia Frelund
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidOct 3, 2025
- GradedAug 5–17, 2026
- 1Buffalo Bills to beat Patriots“I think the Patriots are going to give up a ton of points and the defense is going to be a problem. And the Bills win.”
- 2Seattle Seahawks to beat Buccaneers“it's Seattle at home against the Buccaneers. I think Seattle might be the best team in the league. ... I would go up to six seven points on this and like the Seahawks in this specific week.”
- 3Denver Broncos to beat Philadelphia“I'm having the Broncos win in Philadelphia. ... I like the Broncos to go in, maybe make a statement and go ahead and win it.”
- 4Denver Broncos to beat expectations“And you look for surprise teams when you look for, oh, who could have a longer playoff run than you expect? ... You look to line play right now, Broncos still have one of the best offensive lines in the entire league.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills to beat Patriots1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Seattle Seahawks to beat Buccaneers2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Denver Broncos to beat Philadelphia3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +178 | |
| Denver Broncos to beat expectations4 | Surprise Team Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 1 hit · 2 misses · 1 waiting | 33.3 | 0 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to beat Patriots
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.78difficulty=0skillClosing line (Oct 5): Bills by 7.5 · favorite pick, Bills about 3 in 4 (77%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 23-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
2Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to beat Buccaneers
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.78difficulty=0skillClosing line (Oct 5): Seahawks by 3.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 62%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 38-35
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
3Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos
Denver Broncos to beat Philadelphia
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.78difficulty=+178skillClosing line (Oct 5): Eagles by 3.5 · underdog pick, Broncos about 1 in 3 (34%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 21-17
- skill:
- 178
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
4Surprise Team CallsDenver Broncos
Denver Broncos to beat expectations
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
33.3naive 0
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.John Breech · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 62
Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.