Danny Parkins#75 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 10, 2026
Parkins insisted the Bears cannot lose at home to Green Bay, laid points with Buffalo, Philadelphia (in a blowout) and Houston, picked Justin Herbert and the Chargers to beat New England, and said Puka Nacua will be a first-team All-Pro.
Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original
What Danny Parkins said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromBut I'm just telling you guys, the bears are not losing this game.
- Where it was said
- First Things First (podcast)
- The episode
- Miami beats Ole Miss, Wild Card Weekend preview, Most To Gain & Lose, Upset Alert & NIck’s Picks
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidJan 9
- GradedAug 13–Oct 9
- 1Puka Nacua to make First-Team All-Pro“Puka will be first team all pro. Carolina, not gonna have an answer for Puka Nakula.”
- 2Chicago Bears to beat Packers“the bears are not losing this game. They're just not... This Bears team in this spot will not lose.”
- 3Philadelphia Eagles to beat San Francisco“lay in five and a half with Philly is obvious here... Eagles in a blowout.”
- 4Los Angeles Chargers to beat Patriots“Justin Herbert is very good. I mean, I'm I'm picking him to win the game... I'm taking Chargers plus three and a half against the Patriots.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua to make First-Team All-Pro1 | Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls | Made it | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Chicago Bears to beat Packers2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Philadelphia Eagles to beat San Francisco3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers to beat Patriots4 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −100 | |
| 4 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · all settled | 50 | 50 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Pro Bowl and All-Pro CallsPuka NacuaLos Angeles Rams
Puka Nacua to make First-Team All-Pro
What happenedMade itAll-Pro first team100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- made:
- yes
- naive:
- he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Puka Nacua
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- selection:
- all_pro_first_team
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
2Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears
Chicago Bears to beat Packers
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 10): Packers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Bears 45%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 27-31
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
3Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to beat San Francisco
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 11): Eagles by 6 · favorite pick, Eagles 70%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 23-19
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
4Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Patriots
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1difficulty=−100skillClosing line (Jan 11): Patriots by 3.5 · underdog pick, Chargers 36%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 3-16
- skill:
- −100
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
50naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him.Bryan DeArdo · Score Predictions · Chicago Bears · Hit 98
DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.