Doug JoubertOct 18, 2026
Joubert picks the Saints to win 21-17 over the Giants, seeing the road trip as a possible turning point for Kellen Moore's team.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Doug Joubert said
Prediction: Saints 21 - Giants 17
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Saints vs. Giants: Can New Orleans Snap Its Losing Streak? Our Staff Predicts
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 18
- PlayedOct 18
- GradedOct 18
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 92.9 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsNew Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints 21 — Giants 17
What happenedSaints 34–27called Saints by 4 · won by 792.86Hit · naive 33.3392.86this call−33.33a naive guess=59.53better than naive×1.72difficulty=+102.38skillClosing line (Oct 18): Saints by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 21–17 calls a bigger Saints win (by 4) and fewer points (38).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 34-27
- skill:
- 102.38
- they picked:
- NO
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 33.33
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0
- predicted margin:
- 4
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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