Rich Eisen· Jan 3, 2025
Eisen predicts Tampa Bay handles an injury-depleted Saints team with Mike Evans reaching 1,000 receiving yards, Carson Wentz and the Chiefs upsetting the Broncos, New England beating Buffalo and then picking second or third and landing Travis Hunter, and Kenneth Gainwell rushing for 101 yards against the Giants.
“I think Mike Evans is gonna get his thousand yard season because Baker is going to manifest it.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →
7 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 2 player season numbers, 1 mock draft pick and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
5 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 59.8 out of 100, against 83.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
7 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsJan 3, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos
“What's more likely, Super Bowl champion backup quarterback to get an upset win? Carson Wentz or Jimmy Garoppolo? ... I'm gonna go Carson Wentz. ... And Carson Wentz is gonna use this as an opportunity to just knock the Broncos out of the playoffs”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-106 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 0-38
- skill:
- -106
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersJan 3, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat New Orleans Saints
“And, and Spencer Rattler or whomever is gonna be out there for a lot of injured saints, are gonna have a long day, and the Falcons need a miracle on that front in order to make it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 19-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsJan 3, 2025
New England Patriots to beat Buffalo Bills
“And it's gonna be Jeracke Maier versus, Mitchell Trubisky. And I think you win this game, pal. ... No. Not when they beat the Bills.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 16-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
Mike Evans to record 1,000 receiving yards
“And I think the Bucks, with Baker are a, are a focused bunch, and I think Mike Evans is gonna get his thousand yard season because Baker is going to manifest it.”
Hit · 99Scored 99.2a naive guess scored 63.34+38.02 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 819.95
- skill:
- 38.02
- what happened:
- 1004
- player:
- Mike Evans
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 99.2
- baseline:
- 63.34
- predicted:
- 1000
- statistic:
- receiving_yards
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- last season:
- 1255
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- position average:
- 384.91
- zero at percent out:
- 50
Kenny Gainwell to record 101 rushing yards
“And so I think Kenneth Gainwell might have a 101 yards. I'll I'll even call my shot. Oh. Kenneth Gainwell will gain well. 101 yards.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 53.72-56.94 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 377.32
- skill:
- -56.94
- what happened:
- 290
- player:
- Kenny Gainwell
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 53.72
- predicted:
- 101
- statistic:
- rushing_yards
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- last season:
- 364
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- position average:
- 390.64
- zero at percent out:
- 50
Travis Hunter to be picked “two or three”
“And I think the the Patriots are gonna choose two or three, and you're still gonna get Travis Hunter anyway, and you'll be a very happy camper.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Team Draft Slot CallsNew England PatriotsJan 3, 2025
New England Patriots to pick “two or three”
“And I think the the Patriots are gonna choose two or three, and you're still gonna get Travis Hunter anyway”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
- Zach HicksScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.