Jourdan RodrigueJan 7, 2026
Rodrigue stuck with Matthew Stafford as their MVP choice while predicting Drake Maye actually wins it, and picked Myles Garrett (DPOY), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (OPOY), Tetairoa McMillan (OROY), Carson Schwesinger (DROY), Mike Vrabel (Coach of the Year) and Texans DC Matt Burke (Assistant Coach of the Year).
Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original
What Jourdan Rodrigue said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI've been Matthew Stafford MVP all year. I'm sticking with Matthew Stafford MVP.
- Where it was said
- Move the Sticks (podcast)
- The episode
- 2025 NFL Awards Predictions and Holiday Cards
- The original
- Hear the original
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- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJan 7
- GradedAug 7
- 1Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year“Yeah, I have him as my number one new I would probably put Pokinakua second”
- 2Matthew Stafford to win MVP“I've been Matthew Stafford MVP all year. I'm sticking with Matthew Stafford MVP.”
- 3Drake Maye to win MVP“I think Drake May will win the MVP. I don't really, but I'm going with Matthew Stafford.”
- 4Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year“It is Miles Garrett. If I were going to do a ballot somewhere on there...”
- 5Jalen McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“Teed McMillan was my one. I couldn't decide between Shuck and Dart for the second”
- 6Mike Rabel to win Coach of the Year“He is my number one choice, Rabel and everything Colleen said.”
- 7Matt Burke to win Assistant Coach of the Year“I'm going to go for my number one with Houston Texans defensive coordinator Matt Burke”
- 8Carson Schwesinger to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“Defensive Rookie of the Year. I've got Carson Sqwestions your first, but closely followed by Nick m and Wori.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year1 | Award Picks | Jaxon Smith-Njigba won | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Matthew Stafford to win MVP2 | Award Picks | Matthew Stafford won | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Drake Maye to win MVP3 | Award Picks | Matthew Stafford won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year4 | Award Picks | Myles Garrett won | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Jalen McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year5 | Award Picks | Tetairoa McMillan won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mike Rabel to win Coach of the Year6 | Coach Award Picks | Mike Vrabel won | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Matt Burke to win Assistant Coach of the Year7 | Coach Award Picks | Josh McDaniels won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Carson Schwesinger to win Defensive Rookie of the Year8 | Award Picks | Carson Schwesinger won | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| 8 calls · 5 hits · 3 misses · all settled | 62.5 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive8 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 2 coach award picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 8 have settled, averaging 62.5 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Award PicksJaxon Smith-NjigbaSeattle Seahawks
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year
What happenedJaxon Smith-Njigba won100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
2Award PicksMatthew StaffordLos Angeles Rams
Matthew Stafford to win MVP
What happenedMatthew Stafford won100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Matthew Stafford
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
3Award PicksDrake MayeNew England Patriots
Drake Maye to win MVP
What happenedMatthew Stafford woncalled Drake Maye0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
4Award PicksMyles GarrettCleveland Browns
Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year
What happenedMyles Garrett won100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- defensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Myles Garrett
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Myles Garrett
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Jalen McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
What happenedTetairoa McMillan woncalled Jalen McMillan0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- offensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jalen McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Mike Rabel to win Coach of the Year
What happenedMike Vrabel won100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Mike Vrabel
- naive:
- the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Mike Vrabel
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Matt Burke to win Assistant Coach of the Year
What happenedJosh McDaniels woncalled Matt Burke0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- assistant_coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Matt Burke
- naive:
- we hold no 2024 winner, so the naive pick scored 0
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Josh McDaniels
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
8Award PicksCarson SchwesingerCleveland Browns
Carson Schwesinger to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
What happenedCarson Schwesinger won100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- defensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jared Verse, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Carson Schwesinger
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Carson Schwesinger
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 8 settled calls, each counted once
62.5naive 0
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him.Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Myles Garrett · Hit 100
Discussing Myles Garrett's trade request, Eisen said they expect Garrett to get their way and be moved out of Cleveland rather than stay, which is why staying would be shocking.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
More award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Kyle Brandt · Award Picks · James Cook · Miss 0
Predicted the Bills make the playoffs and beat the Steelers, Chiefs and Ravens en route to a 20-19 Super Bowl win over the Eagles on a last-second 47-yard field goal, with James Cook as Super Bowl MVP. They also picked the Eagles to win tonight's opener... actually their in-game score pick was the Bills-Eagles Super Bowl.TJ Jefferson · Award Picks · Marquise Brown · Miss 0
Jefferson picked the Chiefs to beat the Eagles 34-32 on a late Mahomes touchdown drive, and named Hollywood Brown as Super Bowl MVP.Rich Eisen · Award Picks · Patrick Mahomes · Miss 0
Eisen stuck with their preseason call of a Chiefs three-peat, predicting a 32-26 Kansas City win with Patrick Mahomes as Super Bowl MVP.Marvin Prince · Award Picks · Patrick Mahomes · Miss 0
Picked the Chiefs to win 31-27 with Mahomes as MVP.