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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 7, 2025

Brockman picked the Eagles to beat the Chiefs 31-23 with Saquon Barkley as Super Bowl MVP, and said Barkley has a chance to reach 3,000 total yards of offense.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · all settled
38.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
31.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Philadelphia, thirty one twenty three, your MVP, Saquon Barkley.
Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Super Bowl Predictions
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 7, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–Oct 9, 2026
  1. 1Saquon Barkley to win Super Bowl MVP“Philadelphia, thirty one twenty three, your MVP, Saquon Barkley.”
  2. 2Philadelphia Eagles 31 — Chiefs 23“I'm flying Eagles fly. Philadelphia, thirty one twenty three, your MVP, Saquon Barkley.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Saquon Barkley to win Super Bowl MVP1Award PicksJalen Hurts won000
Philadelphia Eagles 31 — Chiefs 232Score Predictions—76.1962.56+13.63
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled38.131.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 award pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 38.1 out of 100, against 31.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksSaquon BarkleyPhiladelphia Eagles

    Saquon Barkley to win Super Bowl MVP

    What happenedJalen Hurts woncalled Saquon Barkley
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    super_bowl_mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Patrick Mahomes, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Saquon Barkley
    season:
    2024
    who won:
    Jalen Hurts
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Score PredictionsPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles 31 — Chiefs 23

    VerdictClose
    76.19Close · naive 62.56
    76.19this call62.56a naive guess13.63better than naive1difficulty+13.63skill

    Closing line (Feb 9): Chiefs by 1.5, total 48.5 · this 31–23 calls a Eagles win (by 8; the line gave the Eagles 48%) and more points (54).

    How this was scored
    score:
    22-40
    skill:
    13.63
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    62.56
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.28
    predicted margin:
    8
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    38.1naive 31.3

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More score predictions

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