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Manti Te'o#65 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 4, 2025

Picked a Rams–Ravens Super Bowl with Baltimore winning, and Lamar Jackson taking both season MVP and Super Bowl MVP. They also picked Jalen Carter as Defensive Player of the Year.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 5calls landed1 close call · 4 misses · all settled
10Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 5Settlednone still waiting
#65Manti Te'o’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Manti Te'o said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I had first of a matchup was the Rams versus the Ravens, and then I had not only the MVP of the season, but the Super Bowl MVP, Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens
Manti Te'o, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Thursday Hour 2: Super Bowl picks! Brandon Graham & Ross Tucker join!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 4, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–Oct 9, 2026
  1. 1Lamar Jackson to win Super Bowl MVP“not only the MVP of the season, but the Super Bowl MVP, Lamar Jackson”
  2. 2Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl“first of a matchup was the Rams versus the Ravens”
  3. 3Lamar Jackson to win MVP“I had not only the MVP of the season, but the Super Bowl MVP, Lamar Jackson”
  4. 4Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl“a matchup was the Rams versus the Ravens... Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, after twelve long years, get another super Bowl.”
  5. 5Jalen Carter to win Defensive Player of the Year“I know you talked about Zach Bond being your prediction for defensive player of the Year, but I actually picked a teammate of yours, Jalen Carter.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Lamar Jackson to win Super Bowl MVP1Award PicksKenneth Walker III won000
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl2Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won500+100
Lamar Jackson to win MVP3Award PicksMatthew Stafford won000
Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl4Super Bowl PicksSEA won it000
Jalen Carter to win Defensive Player of the Year5Award PicksMyles Garrett won000
5 calls · 1 close call · 4 misses · all settled100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 3 award picks, 1 conference champion and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 10 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksLamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens

    Lamar Jackson to win Super Bowl MVP

    What happenedKenneth Walker III woncalled Lamar Jackson
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    super_bowl_mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jalen Hurts, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Lamar Jackson
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Kenneth Walker III
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Conference ChampionsLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked LAR
    50Close · naive 0
    50this call0a naive guess50better than naive2difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  3. What happenedMatthew Stafford woncalled Lamar Jackson
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Lamar Jackson
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Super Bowl PicksBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked BAL
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Award PicksJalen CarterPhiladelphia Eagles

    Jalen Carter to win Defensive Player of the Year

    What happenedMyles Garrett woncalled Jalen Carter
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jalen Carter
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Myles Garrett
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    10naive 0

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