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Marvin PrinceFeb 7, 2025

Picked the Chiefs to win 31-27 with Mahomes as MVP.

Said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 3calls landed1 close call · 2 misses · all settled
22.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
37.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Marvin Prince said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Chiefs win thirty one to twenty seven. Mahomes MVP.
Marvin Prince, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3 - Super Bowl picks and headlines, Josh Jacobs
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 7, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–Oct 9, 2026
  1. 1Patrick Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP“Mahomes MVP.”
  2. 2Kansas City Chiefs 31 — Eagles 27“Chiefs win thirty one to twenty seven.”
  3. 3Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl“Chiefs win thirty one to twenty seven. Mahomes MVP.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Patrick Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP1Award PicksJalen Hurts won000
Kansas City Chiefs 31 — Eagles 272Score Predictions—16.6762.56−45.9
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl3Super Bowl PicksPHI won it50500
3 calls · 1 close call · 2 misses · all settled22.237.5

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 22.2 out of 100, against 37.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksPatrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs

    Patrick Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP

    What happenedJalen Hurts woncalled Patrick Mahomes
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    super_bowl_mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Patrick Mahomes, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Patrick Mahomes
    season:
    2024
    who won:
    Jalen Hurts
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Score PredictionsKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs 31 — Eagles 27

    VerdictMiss
    16.67Miss · naive 62.56
    16.67this call62.56a naive guess−45.89worse than naive1difficulty−45.9skill

    Closing line (Feb 9): Chiefs by 1.5, total 48.5 · this 31–27 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 4) and more points (58).

    How this was scored
    score:
    22-40
    skill:
    −45.9
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    16.67
    baseline:
    62.56
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.28
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Super Bowl PicksKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedPHI won itpicked KC
    50Close · naive 50
    50this call50a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    champion:
    PHI
    runner up:
    KC
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    22.2naive 37.5

Others on the same people

More score predictions

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