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Kyle Brandt#56 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 4, 2025

Predicted the Bills make the playoffs and beat the Steelers, Chiefs and Ravens en route to a 20-19 Super Bowl win over the Eagles on a last-second 47-yard field goal, with James Cook as Super Bowl MVP. They also picked the Eagles to win tonight's opener... actually their in-game score pick was the Bills-Eagles Super Bowl.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

4 of 8calls landed4 hits · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled
56.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 8 calls
43.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
8 of 8Settlednone still waiting
#56Kyle Brandt’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Kyle Brandt said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Bills twenty, Eagles nineteen.
Kyle Brandt, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Thursday Hour 2: Super Bowl picks! Brandon Graham & Ross Tucker join!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 4, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–Oct 9, 2026
  1. 1James Cook to win Super Bowl MVP“You know who the Super Bowl MVP is going to be. It's not going to be Josh Allen. I thought it's going to be James Cook.”
  2. 2Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl“in the Super Bowl against Philadelphia”
  3. 3Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs“Bills are going to make the playoffs.”
  4. 4Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl“The Buffalo Bills are going to win the Super Bowl this year.”
  5. 5Buffalo Bills to beat Steelers“In the wildcowd round, they are going to beat the Steelers.”
  6. 6Buffalo Bills 20 — Eagles 19“Bills twenty, Eagles nineteen.”
  7. 7Buffalo Bills to beat Chiefs“In the divisional round, they are going to beat the Chiefs.”
  8. 8Buffalo Bills to beat Baltimore“Then in the title game, they are going to beat Baltimore”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
James Cook to win Super Bowl MVP1Award PicksKenneth Walker III won000
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl2Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs3Playoff PicksMade the playoffs1001000
Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl4Super Bowl PicksSEA won it000
Buffalo Bills to beat Steelers5Game Outcome Picks—1000+200
Buffalo Bills 20 — Eagles 196Score Predictions—5047.55+4.9
Buffalo Bills to beat Chiefs7Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Buffalo Bills to beat Baltimore8Game Outcome Picks—1001000
8 calls · 4 hits · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled56.343.4

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

8 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 award pick, 1 conference champion, 1 playoff pick, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 56.3 out of 100, against 43.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksJames CookBuffalo Bills

    James Cook to win Super Bowl MVP

    What happenedKenneth Walker III woncalled James Cook
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    super_bowl_mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jalen Hurts, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    James Cook
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Kenneth Walker III
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked PHI
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Playoff PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs

    What happenedMade the playoffs
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    BUF
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Super Bowl PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked BUF
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Steelers

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    26-7
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. 6Score PredictionsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills 20 — Eagles 19

    VerdictClose
    50Close · naive 47.55
    50this call47.55a naive guess2.45better than naive2difficulty+4.9skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    13-12
    skill:
    4.9
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    47.55
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    1
    Think this is wrong?
  7. 7Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Chiefs

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    21-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. 8Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Baltimore

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    40-41
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  9. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 8 settled calls, each counted once

    56.3naive 43.4

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