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Jared Dubin· Sep 24, 2026

Dubin gave final-score predictions for the same eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Vikings, Ravens, Rams and Eagles.

“Still, they should have enough to win this one fairly comfortably.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

8 checkable claims — 8 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 51.8 out of 100, against 58.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

8 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Philadelphia Eagles 23 — Bears 10

    “But they're still going to win it. Prediction: Eagles 23, Bears 10”

    Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 54.46-39.94 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    7-27
    skill:
    -39.94
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    33.33
    baseline:
    54.46
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    13

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cincinnati Bengals 24 — Steelers 10

    “Prediction: Bengals 24, Steelers 10”

    Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 93.97-132.61 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    27-30
    skill:
    -132.61
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    23.81
    baseline:
    93.97
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    14

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Patriots 17

    “I think they rediscover some of that here and take care of the Patriots at home. Prediction: Jaguars 23, Patriots 17”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    6-35
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    29
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

  • Houston Texans 20 — Colts 16

    “Prediction: Texans 20, Colts 16”

    Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 96.35-96.61 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    17-19
    skill:
    -96.61
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    45.24
    baseline:
    96.35
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Baltimore Ravens 31 — Cowboys 27

    “Prediction: Ravens 31, Cowboys 27”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 43.97+101.39 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    101.39
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    43.97
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams 24 — Broncos 17

    “Prediction : Rams 24, Broncos 17”

    Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 91.59-92.11 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    26-30
    skill:
    -92.11
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    91.59
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    7

    Think this is wrong?

  • Minnesota Vikings 23 — Buccaneers 17

    “Prediction: Vikings 23, Buccaneers 17”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 34.45+119.39 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    23-16
    skill:
    119.39
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    34.45
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers 23 — Falcons 13

    “Prediction: Packers 23, Falcons 13”

    Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 0+45 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    35-14
    skill:
    45
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    23.81
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    -0.45
    predicted margin:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

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