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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
1–25 of 40
28 / 40
graded
12 still pending
Why I Don't Think Republicans Are Going to Lose the Senate
I think the GOP keeps Texas.
But I do think enough of them will still come home to the GOP that the Senate stays in Republican hands.
Right now, I think the GOP is going to lose both North Carolina and Ohio
The United States House of Representatives is gone for the GOP... The House is going to flip and could just as easily flip back in two years.
but I think they'll pick up Michigan
Right now, I think the GOP is going to lose both North Carolina and Ohio
In North Carolina, former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper is mopping the floor with President Trump's hand picked candidate, Michael Whatley.
Republicans have a fighting change in Michigan and New Hampshire to offset a loss in North Carolina
to offset a loss in North Carolina and a failure to pick up Georgia
the Republican Party will control the United States Senate... it is now safe to say the GOP will be in charge of the Senate.
In a few hours, Jon Tester is expected to lose.
He's got North Carolina.
He's got Georgia.
Get ready to flip to MSNBC. Donald Trump is on the verge of winning it all.
Also, don’t be surprised if Eric Hovde and/or Dave McCormack win.
Y’all, I cannot believe I am writing this, but Trump just might carry Kari Lake across the finish line.
I’m increasingly convinced Trump might win Nevada.
I expect the GOP could see its margin go up to 225 or 230.
At a minimum, the Republicans should pick up two seats, for majority control of the Senate.
At a minimum, the Republicans should pick up two seats, for majority control of the Senate.
The GOP presently has a narrow 220 to 212 margin. I expect the GOP could see its margin go up to 225 or 230.
Also, don’t be surprised if Eric Hovde and/or Dave McCormack win.
But based on the trend lines of early voting and the behaviors of the campaigns, I think Trump still has the edge. Again, as I noted yesterday, he has many more paths to 270 votes than she does
I don’t think a late shift to Harris will be enough though. I think enough voters are genuinely frustrated with the direction of the country that they’ll go with Trump.