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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
26–40 of 40
28 / 40
graded
12 still pending
My guess is that Trump wins. But I won’t be at all surprised if Harris wins.
My gut is that the election is tilting toward the Republicans, but I need to emphasize again to you that Harris could win.
In Florida, Republicans have outpaced Democrats by so much that if Florida were all in the Eastern time zone, the state would be called as soon as the polls close on Election Night. There's just no way for Democrats to overcome what is happening to them there.
So you can have Donald Trump now. His victory is your punishment for being a bunch of arrogrant, know-it-all pricks who lack the decency and humility to consider maybe Republicans sometimes have legitimate points
Harris has decided to campaign in Texas, Florida, and Kentucky in the last thirteen days. She will not win those three states but might save some Democrats.
In Nevada, a state I believe Harris will win, her polling is collapsing.
Instead, I find myself having to rein myself in from explicitly saying he has won thirteen days before the election.
Kari Lake will get crushed in Arizona, but the trend for Trump is positive, with momentum in his direction.
Harris has decided to campaign in Texas, Florida, and Kentucky in the last thirteen days. She will not win those three states but might save some Democrats.
Harris has decided to campaign in Texas, Florida, and Kentucky in the last thirteen days. She will not win those three states but might save some Democrats.
Harris and her team have decided to go to Texas, Kentucky, and Florida — three states she will not win.
But this is not what a winning campaign does in the last twelve days of the campaign... Harris is giving up trying to win the White House... It signals the presidential race is all but over.
Harris and her team have decided to go to Texas, Kentucky, and Florida — three states she will not win.
Harris and her team have decided to go to Texas, Kentucky, and Florida — three states she will not win.
Trump-hating Republicans have actually helped Donald Trump, who stands on the cusp of victory... have paved the way for a second Trump term.