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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.54% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 14 of 22 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 13 of 28 articles (3 higher, 10 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
176–200 of 2,784
33 / 2,784
graded
2,751 still pending
Outside the room in 13 of 32 articles (5 higher, 8 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 21 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 11 of 22 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 25 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Kincaid also regularly turns in limited practices during the week and still plays on Sunday. He can be started with confidence. (Week 8)
The good news is both Hall and Allen have gotten in a limited practice and are on track to play this week. Allen got in a full practice Thursday. (Week 8)
He'd need an expedited ramp-up process to play in Week 8, so have a backup plan ready.
Colston Loveland to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
With his recent production, Loveland is back in our good graces and should be locked in as a top-five tight end going forward.
Justin Jefferson to finish WR2 (13–24) at his position, by fantasy points
Until the target volume returns, you may want to treat Jefferson more like a WR2 than the WR1 you expected when you drafted him.
Justin JeffersonMinnesota Vikings
TreVeyon Henderson to finish RB3 (25–36) at his position, by fantasy points
If I were drafting today, I would wait to draft Henderson until the ninth round or later as a mid-RB3.
Jaylen Waddle to finish WR3 (25–36) at his position, by fantasy points
I value Waddle as a mid-WR3 in my fantasy football rankings, and I wouldn't take him until the late-sixth or seventh round if I were drafting today.
Chase Brown to finish RB2 (13–24) at his position, by fantasy points
If we were drafting today, I'd consider Brown as a mid-RB2, after names like D'Andre Swift and Chuba Hubbard.
Omar Cooper to finish WR3 (25–36) at his position, by fantasy points
I consider Cooper a high-end WR3 in fantasy, and would target him in the fifth or sixth round if I were drafting today.
Tight End: Brock Bowers (TE – LV), Trey McBride (TE – ARI), Isaiah Likely (TE – NYG), Tyler Warren (TE – IND), George Kittle (TE – SF)
Running Back: Jahmyr Gibbs (RB – DET), Bijan Robinson (RB – ATL), Derrick Henry (RB – BAL)
Matthew Golden to finish WR2 (13–24) at his position, by fantasy points
If I were drafting today, I would target Golden as a mid-WR2 in the late third round, in a similar range to Bucky Irving.
Josh Downs to finish WR4 (37–48) at his position, by fantasy points
If I were drafting today, I wouldn't consider Downs until the ninth or 10th round, at best, and only as a WR4.
Wide Receiver: Puka Nacua (WR – LAR), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR – SEA), Ja'Marr Chase (WR – CIN), CeeDee Lamb (WR – DAL)
Quarterback: Josh Allen (QB – BUF), Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL), Joe Burrow (QB – CIN), Jayden Daniels (QB – WSH), Brock Purdy (QB – SF)
A.J. Brown to finish WR1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points
I would look to move almost any WR2 currently, because once Brown starts up he will easily be a WR1.
A.J. BrownNew England Patriots
Matthew Golden to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
I'd package Williams with another useful piece to pursue Matthew Golden, my WR12.
Derrick Henry to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
I still have him at RB6 for the rest of the season, compared with RB8 in FantasyPros ECR.
Stefon Diggs to be 1st on the depth chart
Stefon Diggs should be the man to step up as the WR1 in the offense
Stefon DiggsWashington Commanders
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart
Plus, there's the looming quarterback change coming soon. Kirk Cousins has been balling out... Soon, Fernando Mendoza will be starting
Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders
Jonah Coleman to be 1st on the depth chart
It feels like only a matter of time before Coleman takes over as Denver's lead running back. Sean Payton has already said the rookie deserves more touches, while RJ Harvey remains involved in the rotation.
J.K. Dobbins to finish top 37 at his position, by fantasy points
Dobbins has dropped to my RB37 overall, and I'd be fine parting ways for Kyle Monangai, Blake Corum or Rico Dowdle in return.
Aaron Jones to finish top 30 at his position, by fantasy points
He's down to my RB30 overall, and I'd be willing to sell for Ollie Gordon II, Woody Marks, Jordan Mason, or Rachaad White.
Tony Pollard to finish top 32 at his position, by fantasy points
Pollard remains my RB32 despite this gargantuan performance
Chase Brown to finish top 17 at his position, by fantasy points
In redraft, Brown has fallen to my RB17, below his RB15 ECR.