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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
26–50 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Josh Allen to win Top three in MVP voting
The top three in MVP voting this year will be Trevor Lawrence, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson in some order.
Trevor Lawrence to win Top three in MVP voting
The top three in MVP voting this year will be Trevor Lawrence, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson in some order.
New Orleans Saints to beat expectations
I'll see there's a chance that that the Saints... I I I put my marker on them maybe.
New York Giants to win the division
The first part, I don't think is an overreaction. The best team in the NFC East is entirely possible.
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
I had the... Like, again, had the Chargers winning the division.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
I'll say the first part, you had me at hello winning the NFC South.
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
I think the Jaguars and Texans are making it again, I believe.
Baker Mayfield to win MVP finalist
Baker MVP finalist that doesn't get 60?
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
Eagles are making it again.
Detroit Lions to win the division
I think the lions are winning the division. I was the only one on our set to say that.
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 11 wins
Steelers eleven and six win the North home game.
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl
So I do believe the Rams are making the Super Bowl.
Fernando Mendoza to win Offensive Rookie of the Year finalist
Oh, I think he'll be an offensive rookie of the year finalist if he plays
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
they I had the Bengals winning the AFC North.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
Once Baker wins the NFC south this year
Pittsburgh Steelers to win the division
Steelers eleven and six win the North home game.
Aaron Rodgers to record 35 passing tds
Having the time of his life. Throwing touchdowns. 35 plus touchdowns.
Baker Mayfield to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baker Mayfield's gonna be a $60,000,000 a year quarter.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 12 wins
12 and 5. Yeah. NFC championship.
Fernando Mendoza to win Offensive Rookie of the Year finalist
But Fernando Mendoza is gonna play. He's gonna lead the Raiders in passing, and he's gonna be an offensive rookie of the year finalist.
Houston Texans to take the top seed
The Texans are gonna regret not giving CJ Stroud an extension before he leads Houston to the AFC one seed this year.
Jonathan Taylor to record 2,000 rushing yards
I think Jonathan Taylor could is gonna do it. That's a different story. I think he's gonna get to that.
Dak Prescott to win MVP
I think Dax is gonna be a regular season MVP this year.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
And so the fact that Minter can come in and start winning football games and a division Right away. Immediately. And and and take them to at least the second round of the playoffs.
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
Seahawks are making it again.