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95.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 10 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
51–75 of 717
423 / 717
graded
294 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Kenneth Walker III to win Offensive Player of the Year
So this is not in any way, shape, or form an overreaction. If he continues to run like this and, you know, threatens 2,000 yards, he will be the offensive player of the year mix and perhaps win it.
Dallas Cowboys to beat Bucks
They're kicking off week five on Thursday night against the Bucks team that has a rookie backup starting with no wins. That looks to me like a three and two record.
Bryce Young to sign a new deal
We're not we're not wondering anymore if he's gonna get a new contract from Carolina. Like, this is this is it.
Minnesota Vikings to win the division
The Vikings should win the division with that defense 1000%.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
I'm still putting the Cowboys in that Okay. Department Okay. After what the Eagles have looked like.
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
And they are without question the class of their division. I mean, they're going to repeat as the AFC South Yeah. No doubt. Winners.
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10–17 wins
They got they got a double digit win season right there in front of them with health.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Philadelphia
their next two are in London against Philadelphia on NFL Network... and then they welcome in the Texans. Two teams that they should just bat around the way that things are going right now.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Texans
and then they welcome in the Texans. Two teams that they should just bat around the way that things are going right now.
Houston Texans to pick “top five picks in the draft” (picks 1–5)
He says the chargers and Texans will have top five picks in the draft
Los Angeles Chargers to pick “top five picks in the draft” (picks 1–5)
He says the chargers and Texans will have top five picks in the draft
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
And this is absolutely a playoff team... This is a team that's absolutely making the playoffs and not winning the division.
New York Jets to beat patriots
and the Jets are definitely a better team... I don't see a win there until week eight.
Buffalo Bills to beat patriots
because the bills are definitely the proverbial offensive wagon... I mean, I don't see a win there until week eight.
Minnesota Vikings to win the division
And in terms of winning the division and and making the playoffs, and that they're the NFC North favorites there, it's tough to argue that
Chicago Bears to beat patriots
With a, Thursday night visit to Chicago in week seven. Yeah. I mean, I don't see a win there until week eight.
Kyle Hamilton to stay with Baltimore Ravens
he's got the right coach for the rest of his career, and he won't go anywhere and neither will Minter.
Las Vegas Raiders to beat patriots
And after that, you know, in comes Vegas... I mean, I don't see a win there until week eight.
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 12 wins
I mean, that looks like twelve and five minimum. I mean, so I can't push back on this one.
New England Patriots to pick “picking in the top five next year” (picks 1–5)
Drake Bay was a one year wonder, and the Pats are gonna be picking in the top five next year.
Deshaun Watson to sign a new deal with Cleveland Browns
Deshaun Watson's gonna lead the Browns to the playoffs and get a new contract to stay with the Browns... He will be their quarterback in 2027.
Brock Purdy to finish top 5 at his position, by an unstated measure
I think Brock Purdy has stolen his spot. Brock Purdy is a top five quarterback playing like a top two quarterback.
Minnesota Vikings to win the division
The Vikings. Man, their defense is so good. It doesn't matter who plays quarterback, and they're the NFC North favorites.
Cleveland Browns to make the playoffs
Deshaun Watson's gonna lead the Browns to the playoffs and get a new contract to stay with the Browns.
Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
Deshaun Watson has proven he deserves to be the brown starter this week and beyond.