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One writer with a graded record here.
Their own site →Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
1–12 of 12
12 / 12
graded
0 still pending
Trump will win Iowa by 12 points.
it appears that so far Democrats might gain 5 seats (NE-2, NY-4, NY-19, NY-22, VA-2)
The Presidential race still depends on Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada. Things are headed toward Trump, but it will take a day or two to play out.
it appears that so far Democrats might gain 5 seats (NE-2, NY-4, NY-19, NY-22, VA-2)
Republicans might gain 2 seats (PA-7 and PA-8)
Republicans might gain 2 seats (PA-7 and PA-8)
it appears that so far Democrats might gain 5 seats (NE-2, NY-4, NY-19, NY-22, VA-2)
it appears that so far Democrats might gain 5 seats (NE-2, NY-4, NY-19, NY-22, VA-2)
it appears that so far Democrats might gain 5 seats (NE-2, NY-4, NY-19, NY-22, VA-2)
House seat prediction: 224 D (range: 216-232), 211 R (range: 203-222)
House seat prediction: 224 D (range: 216-232), 211 R (range: 203-222)
That corresponds to about an 8 in 9 probability that Democrats will win the popular vote – and take control of the House. This is consistent with Nancy Pelosi's public statement that she expects Democrats to regain the majority.