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Nate Tice· Oct 29, 2026

Tice picked the Seahawks over the Bears on Monday night, the Lions over the Vikings, the Steelers over the Browns, the Ravens over the Bills, the Buccaneers over the Falcons and the Chiefs over the Broncos. He also has the Bears as his top team in the NFC North, says the Vikings can still win the division, calls the Patriots for 40-plus points against Miami, and caps the Vikings' offensive ceiling at 22nd in the league.

“I'm also going Seahawks, but I I wanna say this, though, is, like, these two, I feel really good about just grand scheme of things this season and into the playoffs.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) · read the original →

10 checkable claims — 6 game outcome picks, 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick, 1 position group finish and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 57.1 out of 100, against 77.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Where this call stands in the room

Minnesota Vikings · 2026 season

5 calls from 5 pundits between 1 and 22. Nate Tice said 22. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Nate Tice — 22the room — 5 calls from 5 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

10 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Seattle Seahawks to beat Bears

    “I'm also going Seahawks... Seahawks, Bears, Monday night football, it's gonna bring us home.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots 40 — Dolphins ?

    “Playing the Patriots this week, and I think the Patriots will drop a 40 burger.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.8+96.92 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-19
    skill:
    96.92
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    39.8
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos

    “I think the Chiefs win this one too.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    24-28
    skill:
    −161
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Chiefs 50%, Broncos 50%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Baltimore Ravens to beat Bills

    “I'm gonna go with them for unit theory. The Bills defense is just such a negative right now until proven otherwise.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    10-36
    skill:
    −161
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3 · underdog pick, Ravens 41%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Falcons

    “I'm gonna go Bucks, but I I really am excited to watch this one”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    TB
    score:
    0-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Buccaneers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Buccaneers 54%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Detroit Lions to beat Vikings

    “But I I am gonna go to the lines as well. I think it's gonna be a great game.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    15-19
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Lions by 3 · favorite pick, Lions 60%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns

    “I'm gonna go Steelers, and... But I love your under tout more than anything.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    6-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 64%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Minnesota Vikings to make the playoffs

    “They could still win this division. They are still a playoff team, yada yada, because their defense is so good.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chicago Bears to win the division

    “Right now, I have the bears on top as what... Who... If playoff time, I think their formula works best for the playoffs”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Minnesota Vikings offense to be bottom 11 in the league

    “I still think the ceiling this offense is, like, twenty second. You know? Like, it's not even average.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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