Nate Tice· Oct 29, 2026
Tice picked the Seahawks over the Bears on Monday night, the Lions over the Vikings, the Steelers over the Browns, the Ravens over the Bills, the Buccaneers over the Falcons and the Chiefs over the Broncos. He also has the Bears as his top team in the NFC North, says the Vikings can still win the division, calls the Patriots for 40-plus points against Miami, and caps the Vikings' offensive ceiling at 22nd in the league.
“I'm also going Seahawks, but I I wanna say this, though, is, like, these two, I feel really good about just grand scheme of things this season and into the playoffs.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) · read the original →
10 checkable claims — 6 game outcome picks, 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick, 1 position group finish and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
7 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 57.1 out of 100, against 77.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.
Where this call stands in the room
Minnesota Vikings · 2026 season5 calls from 5 pundits between 1 and 22. Nate Tice said 22. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Falcons at Buccaneers 15 calls
- Ravens at Bills 23 calls
- Vikings at Lions 23 calls
- Browns at Steelers 34 calls
- Patriots at Dolphins 19 calls
- Chiefs at Broncos 17 calls
- Bears at Seahawks 102 calls
10 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksOct 29, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to beat Bears
“I'm also going Seahawks... Seahawks, Bears, Monday night football, it's gonna bring us home.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 34-17
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
- Score PredictionsNew England PatriotsOct 29, 2026
New England Patriots 40 — Dolphins ?
“Playing the Patriots this week, and I think the Patriots will drop a 40 burger.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.8+96.92 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-19
- skill:
- 96.92
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 39.8
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- naive home margin:
- 0.72
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsOct 29, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos
“I think the Chiefs win this one too.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 24-28
- skill:
- −161
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 1): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Chiefs 50%, Broncos 50%.
- Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensOct 29, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to beat Bills
“I'm gonna go with them for unit theory. The Bills defense is just such a negative right now until proven otherwise.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 10-36
- skill:
- −161
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3 · underdog pick, Ravens 41%.
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 29, 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Falcons
“I'm gonna go Bucks, but I I really am excited to watch this one”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 0-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 1): Buccaneers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Buccaneers 54%.
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsOct 29, 2026
Detroit Lions to beat Vikings
“But I I am gonna go to the lines as well. I think it's gonna be a great game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DET
- score:
- 15-19
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 1): Lions by 3 · favorite pick, Lions 60%.
- Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersOct 29, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns
“I'm gonna go Steelers, and... But I love your under tout more than anything.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 6-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 64%.
- Playoff PicksMinnesota VikingsOct 29, 2026
Minnesota Vikings to make the playoffs
“They could still win this division. They are still a playoff team, yada yada, because their defense is so good.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersChicago BearsOct 29, 2026
Chicago Bears to win the division
“Right now, I have the bears on top as what... Who... If playoff time, I think their formula works best for the playoffs”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Group FinishMinnesota VikingsOct 29, 2026
Minnesota Vikings offense to be bottom 11 in the league
“I still think the ceiling this offense is, like, twenty second. You know? Like, it's not even average.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
- Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
- Jared KochGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansHit · 100Koch predicts the Texans will beat the winless Chargers on the road in Week 9 by at least 10 points, with Houston's defense forcing a couple of turnovers to set up a multiple-score win.
- Derek BrownGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Hawk said the Chiefs would beat the Jets, the Seahawks would beat the Cardinals, and the 49ers would beat the Raiders, even while taking the points with the underdogs in each case.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansHit · 100Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.