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Nate Tice· Nov 5, 2026

Tice picked the Patriots to beat the Packers and also took the Bears, Bills, 49ers and Broncos in their Week 9 matchups.

“I will go with patriots win, packers cover.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsNov 5, 2026

    Chicago Bears to beat Bucks

    “Also taking the bears... there are ways to attack this bears defense. I... The Bucks have not shown this season that they can attack that way.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5 · favorite pick, Bears 71%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 5, 2026

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Raiders

    “I'll go niners as well. Niners are first in DVA on offense still.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    17-38
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): 49ers by 8.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsNov 5, 2026

    New England Patriots to beat packers

    “I will go with patriots win, packers cover. There we go. That's how I'm gonna go with this.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    45-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosNov 5, 2026

    Denver Broncos to beat Panthers

    “I'm also gonna go with the Broncos here... I think they just, again, natural answers for them.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    26-21
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3 · favorite pick, Broncos 58%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsNov 5, 2026

    Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings

    “the Bills offense has a lot of answers against this Vikings defense where they don't have to reinvent the wheel... So gonna go with the Bills.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

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